MAS (JSE:MSP) Altman Z-Score: 1.54 (As of Jul. 14, 2026) — Near Median

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JSE:MSP MAS PLC JSE:MSP
73 GF Score
Price R22.31
GF Value R20.09
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is MAS Altman Z-Score?

MAS JSE:MSP +1.87% 73 Altman Z-Score is 1.54 as of Jul. 14, 2026, which is 6% below its 10-year median of 1.64. GuruFocus rates JSE:MSP with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of R20.09 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,734 Real Estate companies, MAS ranks better than 57.79% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.52 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

MAS has a Altman Z-Score of 1.54, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for MAS's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:MSP' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.74   Med: 1.64   Max: 4.12
Current: 1.52

During the past 13 years, MAS's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.12. The lowest was 0.74. And the median was 1.64.


MAS  (JSE:MSP) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


MAS Altman Z-Score Related Terms


MAS Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for MAS's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

MAS Altman Z-Score Chart

MAS Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.88 1.65 1.60 1.44 1.63

MAS Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 1.44 0.00 1.63 0.00

MAS Altman Z-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, MAS's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MAS Altman Z-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, MAS's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MAS's Altman Z-Score falls into.


JSE:MSP
73GF Score
MAS PLC JSE:MSP
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

MAS Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

MAS's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0427+1.4*0.3228+3.3*0.0925+0.6*1.1196+1.0*0.055
=1.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2025:
Total Assets was R38,058 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R6,765 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R5,141 Mil.
Retained Earnings was R12,284 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was R2,902 Mil.
Interest Expense was R-617 Mil.
Revenue was R2,094 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was R14,718 Mil.
Total Liabilities was R13,146 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(6764.865 - 5141.125)/38057.769
=0.0427

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=12284.193/38057.769
=0.3228

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(2901.75 - -617.26)/38057.769
=0.0925

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=14718.248/13145.833
=1.1196

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2093.672/38057.769
=0.055

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

MAS has a Altman Z-Score of 1.54 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.54 mean?
MAS (JSE:MSP) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.54 as of Jul. 14, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on MAS and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 1.64. Over the past decade, MAS's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.74 to 4.12. According to the industry distribution chart, MAS ranks #732 out of 1734 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 42.2%.
Is MAS's Altman Z-Score too high?
MAS's current Altman Z-Score of 1.54 is near median its 10-year median of 1.64. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.74 to a high of 4.12. The Real Estate industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.31. MAS's value of 1.54 is 17.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, MAS ranks #732 out of 1734 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, MAS has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does MAS's Altman Z-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, MAS ranks #732 out of 1734 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts MAS in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.31. MAS's value of 1.54 is 17.6% above this benchmark. Historically, MAS's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 0.74 to 4.12 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.64 vs. the industry median of 1.31, MAS has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Real Estate company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Real Estate companies is 1.31, based on 1,734 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. MAS's current Altman Z-Score of 1.54 is 17.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on MAS and its competitors. For the Real Estate industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.31 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. MAS's current Altman Z-Score is 1.54, which is near median its own 10-year median of 1.64. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is MAS stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MAS (JSE:MSP) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R20.09, compared to a current price of R22.31 — trading 11.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.54, which is near median its 10-year median of 1.64 and 17.6% above the Real Estate industry median of 1.31. MAS's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For MAS (JSE:MSP), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.54 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is MAS (JSE:MSP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MAS stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R22.31 is trading 11.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of R20.09. GuruFocus considers MAS to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:MSP:

  • Altman Z-Score: 1.54 (near median its 10-year median of 1.64)
  • GF Value™: R20.09 vs. price of R22.31 (11.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 17.6% above the Real Estate median (#732 of 1734)

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:MSP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


MAS Business Description

Address Abate Rigord Street, Suite 11, Penthouse Level, Marina Business Centre, Ta’ Xbiex, MLT, XBX1129
MAS PLC is a property investor. It owns income generating properties in Romania, Bulgaria, and Poland. The company acquires, develops, and manages retail, office, industrial, and hotel properties. The company's reportable segments are CEE direct assets (CEE), CEE development joint venture (DJV), WE direct assets (WE), and Corporate. Its key revenue is derived from the CEE direct assets (CEE) segment which includes income properties located in CEE fully owned and managed by the company. Geographically, the company derives maximum revenue from Romania, and the rest from Bulgaria, Poland, and Germany.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:MSP

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R22.31
Price
R20.09
GF Value