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AutoNation (AutoNation) Altman Z-Score

: 3.52 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.52 is strong.

AutoNation has a Altman Z-Score of 3.52, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for AutoNation's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.83   Med: 3.39   Max: 4.96
Current: 3.52

During the past 13 years, AutoNation's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.96. The lowest was 2.83. And the median was 3.39.


AutoNation Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AutoNation's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AutoNation Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.06 3.40 4.96 4.20 3.51

AutoNation Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.20 4.09 3.88 3.80 3.51

Competitive Comparison

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, AutoNation's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AutoNation Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, AutoNation's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AutoNation's Altman Z-Score falls into.



AutoNation Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

AutoNation's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.1065+1.4*0.3876+3.3*0.1399+0.6*0.6598+1.0*2.2495
=3.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $11,980 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,307 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,583 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $4,643 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 277.7 + 327.4 + 364.8 + 380.3 = $1,350 Mil.
Interest Expense was -92 + -87.1 + -78.8 + -68.2 = $-326 Mil.
Revenue was 6767.4 + 6892.7 + 6890.1 + 6398.7 = $26,949 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $6,445 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $9,769 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(4306.9 - 5582.5)/11980
=-0.1065

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=4643/11980
=0.3876

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1350.2 - -326.1)/11980
=0.1399

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=6445.269/9768.6
=0.6598

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=26948.9/11980
=2.2495

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

AutoNation has a Altman Z-Score of 3.52 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


AutoNation  (NYSE:AN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


AutoNation Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of AutoNation's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


AutoNation (AutoNation) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
200 SW 1st Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA, 33301
AutoNation is the second largest automotive dealer in the United States, with 2022 revenue of $27 billion and over 250 dealerships, plus 53 collision centers. The firm also has 16 AutoNation USA used-vehicle stores, a captive lender, four auction sites, and three parts distributors all across 20 states primarily in Sunbelt metropolitan areas. New-vehicle sales account for nearly half of revenue; the company also sells used vehicles, parts, and repair services as well as auto financing. The company (formerly Republic Industries) spun off its waste management unit (Republic Services) in 1999 and its car rental businesses (ANC Rental) in 2000. Wayne Huizenga founded the company in the 1990s to bring the rollup acquisition strategy to auto retailing, which has proved to be a smart move.
Executives
Edward S Lampert director, 10 percent owner 1170 KANE CONCOURSE, SUITE 200, BAY HARBOUR FL 33154
Jeff Parent officer: COO 200 SW 1ST AVE, SUITE 1600, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Mikan George Lawrence Iii director 200 SW 1ST AVE, SUITE 1600, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Robert R Grusky director C/O STRAYER EDUCATION INC, 2303 DULLES STATION BOULEVARD, HERNDON VA 20171
Edmunds C Coleman officer: EVP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec 200 SW 1ST AVE, SUITE 1600, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Thomas A Szlosek other: EVP & CFO HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC., 115 TABOR ROAD, MORRIS PLAINS NJ 07950
Joseph T Lower officer: EVP & CFO 200 SW 1ST AVE, SUITE 1600, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Michael Mark Manley director, officer: CEO and Director 1000 CHRYSLER DRIVE, CIMS 485-09-96, AUBURN HILLS MI 48326
Marc G Cannon officer: CMO & SVP, Communications 200 SW 1ST AVE, SUITE 1600, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Kimberly Dees officer: SVP & CAO 200 SW 1ST AVENUE, SUITE 1600, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Lisa Esparza officer: EVP and CHIEF HR OFFICER 200 SW 1ST AVENUE, SUITE 1600, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Gianluca Camplone officer: COO Prec Parts & EVP Mobility 200 SW 1ST AVE, SUITE 1600, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Christopher Cade officer: VP and CAO 200 SW 1ST AVE, SUITE 1600, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Steve Kwak officer: COO Franchised Business 200 SW 1ST AVE, SUITE 1600, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Jacqueline A Travisano director 200 SW 1ST AVE, SUITE 1600, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301