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Bank OZK (Bank OZK) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $32.35 (As of Dec23)


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What is Bank OZK Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Bank OZK's earnings power value is $32.35. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -42.21

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Bank OZK Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Bank OZK's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Bank OZK Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Bank OZK Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.92 31.82 32.59 24.30 32.35

Bank OZK Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.30 20.87 22.85 23.07 32.35

Competitive Comparison of Bank OZK's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Bank OZK's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bank OZK's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Bank OZK's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bank OZK's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Bank OZK Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Bank OZK's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,179
DDA 43
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 61
Tax Rate % 22.68
Maintenance Capex 45
Cash and Cash Equivalents 5,394
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 1,275
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 114

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,179 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 61,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,179 * 0.00% +61 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 22.68%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 22.68% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 43 * 0.5 * 22.68% = $4.862670273 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 4.862670273 = $4.862670273 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Bank OZK's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $45 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Bank OZK's current cash and cash equivalent = $5,394 Mil.
Bank OZK's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,275 + 0 = $1274.731 Mil.
Bank OZK's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 114 Mil.

Bank OZK's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 4.862670273 - 45)/ 9%+5,394-1274.731 )/114
=32.35

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 32.346457012121-46.00 )/32.346457012121
= -42.21%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Bank OZK  (NAS:OZK) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Bank OZK Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Bank OZK's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Bank OZK (Bank OZK) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
18000 Cantrell Road, Little Rock, AR, USA, 72223
Bank OZK is a bank holding company that owns and operates a community bank, Bank of the Ozarks. The bank operates offices primarily in the southeastern United States, as well as Texas, New York, and California. The bank holding company also owns a number of finance subsidiary business trusts formed in connection with the issuance of debt and preferred securities. Bank of the Ozarks provides a wide range of retail and commercial banking services, but principally concentrates its activities on real estate loans, which account for the great majority of the bank's loans and leases. The bank's real estate lending arm, which finances many metropolitan construction and development projects, extends further than many of its community banking competitors.
Executives
Kathleen M Franklin director 17901 CHENAL PARKWAY, LITTLE ROCK AR 72223
Bradly Rebel officer: Chief Audit Executive 17901 CHENAL PARKWAY, LITTLE ROCK AR 72223
Dennis R James officer: EVP/Director of M & A 17901 CHENAL PARKWAY, LITTLE ROCK AR 72223
Mullen Walter J Iii director 17901 CHENAL PARKWAY, LITTLE ROCK AR 72223
Paula H Cholmondeley director 221 W PHILADELPHIA ST, SUITE 60W, YORK PA 17401-2991
Timothy D Hicks officer: EVP Corporate Finance 17901 CHENAL PARKWAY, LITTLE ROCK AR 72227
John Crawford Carter officer: Director Community Bank Lend 17901 CHENAL PARKWAY, LITTLE ROCK AR 72223
Edward J Wydock officer: Chief Risk Officer SUSQUEHANNA BANCSHARES, INC., 26 N CEDAR ST, LITITZ PA 17543
William A Koefoed director 17901 CHENAL PARKWAY, LITTLE ROCK AR 72223
Jennifer R Junker officer: Dir of Trust and Wealth Mgmt 17901 CHENAL PARKWAY, LITTLE ROCK AR 72223
Matthew Reddin officer: Dir of Comm Bank Lending 17901 CHENAL PARKWAY, LITTLE ROCK AR 72223
Ross M Whipple director 17901 CHENAL PARKWAY, LITTLE ROCK AR 72223
Catherine B Freedberg director 17901 CHENAL PARKWAY, LITTLE ROCK AR 72223
Peter C Kenny director 17901 CHENAL PARKWAY, LITTLE ROCK AR 72223
Dan Thomas officer: Chief Lending Officer 17901 CHENAL PARKWAY, LITTLE ROCK AR 72223