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The Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.03% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, The Walt Disney Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, The Walt Disney Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

The Walt Disney Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, The Walt Disney Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Walt Disney Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Probability of Financial Distress (%)'s extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



The Walt Disney Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.14

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


The Walt Disney Co  (NYSE:DIS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


The Walt Disney Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Walt Disney Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) Business Description

The Walt Disney Co logo
Address
500 South Buena Vista Street, Burbank, CA, USA, 91521
Walt Disney owns the rights to some of the most globally recognized characters, from Mickey Mouse to Luke Skywalker. These characters and others are featured in several Disney theme parks around the world. Disney makes live-action and animated films under studios such as Pixar, Marvel, and Lucasfilm and also operates media networks including ESPN and several TV production studios. Disney shifted into a more streaming-focused firm by acquiring the remainder of Hulu and launching Disney+ and ESPN+. Across its streaming platforms, Disney had over 235 million subscribers as of September 2022, up sharply from under 64 million in December 2019.
Executives
Carolyn Everson director C/O THE HERTZ CORPORATION, 225 BRAE BOULEVARD, PARK RIDGE NJ 07656-0713
Kristina K Schake officer: Sr. EVP and Chief Comm Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Horacio E Gutierrez officer: Sr EVP, General Counsel & Secy 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Geoff Morrell officer: SEVP Chf Corp Affairs Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Paul J Richardson officer: Sr. EVP and Chief HR Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Amy Chang director 2100 SEAPORT BLVD., C/O INFORMATICA CORPORATION, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Calvin Mcdonald director C/O LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC., 1818 CORNWALL AVENUE, VANCOUVER A1 V6J 1C7
Robert A Chapek officer: Chief Executive Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Maria Elena Lagomasino director 345 PARK AVENUE 5TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10154
Mark G Parker director ONE BOWERMAN DR, BEAVERTON OR 97005
Mary T Barra director 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, M/C: 482-C25-A36, DETROIT MI 48265-3000
Froman Michael B. G. director 2000 PURCHASE STREET, PURCHASE NY 10577
Alan N Braverman officer: Sr EVP, General Counsel & Secy 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA ST, BURBANK CA 91521-1030
Christine M Mccarthy officer: SEVP-Chief Financial Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521-0964
Mary Jayne Parker officer: SEVP and Chief HR Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521-0966

The Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) Headlines

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