Harbin Bank Co (FRA:5H6) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.14% (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


FRA:5H6 Harbin Bank Co Ltd FRA:5H6
43 GF Score
Price €0.03
GF Value €0.03
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Harbin Bank Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Harbin Bank Co FRA:5H6 -6.06% 43 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.14% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:5H6 with a GF Score™ of 43/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.03. The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Harbin Bank Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.14%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Harbin Bank Co  (FRA:5H6) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Harbin Bank Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


Harbin Bank Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Harbin Bank Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harbin Bank Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Harbin Bank Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harbin Bank Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


FRA:5H6
43GF Score
Harbin Bank Co Ltd FRA:5H6
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Harbin Bank Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.55

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.14%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.14% mean?
Harbin Bank Co (FRA:5H6) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.14% as of Jun. 27, 2026.
Is Harbin Bank Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Harbin Bank Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.14%. Overall, Harbin Bank Co has a GF Score™ of 43/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Harbin Bank Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
Harbin Bank Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.14% can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Banks company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Banks industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Harbin Bank Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.14%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Harbin Bank Co stock overvalued right now?
Harbin Bank Co (FRA:5H6) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.14%. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.03, compared to a current price of €0.03 — trading 3.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.14%. Harbin Bank Co's overall GF Score™ is 43/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Harbin Bank Co (FRA:5H6), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.14% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Harbin Bank Co (FRA:5H6) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harbin Bank Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €0.03 is trading 3.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of €0.03.

Key valuation signals for FRA:5H6:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.14%
  • GF Value™: €0.03 vs. price of €0.03 (3.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 43/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:5H6 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Harbin Bank Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 06138:Hong Kong
Address No. 888 Shangjiang Street, Daoli District, Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, CHN, 150010
Harbin Bank Co Ltd provides deposit services, loan services, payment and settlement services and financial leasing services, as well as other financial services approved by the NFRA. Its segments include Corporate financial business, Retail financial business, Interbank financial business, and Other business. The majority of the revenue is derived from Corporate financial business which provides financial products and services to corporate customers, including deposits, loans, settlement and clearing and other products and services relating to the trading business. Its geographical segments include Heilongjiang region, Other regions in Northeastern China, Southwestern China, and Other regions.
43GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:5H6

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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