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HomeStreet (HomeStreet) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.09% (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is HomeStreet Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, HomeStreet's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of HomeStreet's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, HomeStreet's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


HomeStreet's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, HomeStreet's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HomeStreet's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



HomeStreet Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.98

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.09%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


HomeStreet  (NAS:HMST) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


HomeStreet Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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HomeStreet (HomeStreet) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » HomeStreet Inc (NAS:HMST) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
601 Union Street, Suite 2000, Seattle, WA, USA, 98101
HomeStreet Inc is a commercial bank. It provides commercial and consumer loans including mortgage loans, deposit products, private banking, and cash management services. The company loan products include commercial business loans and agriculture loans, consumer loans, single family residential mortgages, loans secured by commercial real estate and construction loans for residential and commercial real estate projects.
Executives
Diane P Novak officer: EVP, CHIEF RISK OFFICER 601 UNION ST, SUITE 2000, SEATTLE WA 98101
Sidney Craig Tompkins director 5995 SEPULVEDA BOULEVARD, SUITE 300, CULVER CITY CA 90230
John Michel officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 18101 VON KARMAN AVENUE, SUITE 750, IRVINE CA 92612
David L Parr officer: EVP, DIR. OF COMM'L BANKING 601 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, SEATTLE WA 98101
William Endresen officer: EVP, Comm'l RE (Interim) 601 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, SEATTLE WA 98101
Scott M Boggs director
Erik D Hand officer: EVP, Mortgage Lending Director 601 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, SEATTLE WA 98101
Mark Robert Patterson director 602 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, SEATTLE WA 98101
Troy Harper officer: EVP & CIO 601 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, SEATTLE WA 98101
Amen Darrell Van officer: SVP, Treasurer 601 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, SEATTLE WA 98101
Douglas Irvine Smith director 601 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, SEATTLE WA 98101
Joanne R Harrell director 601 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, SEATTLE WA 98101
Jay C Iseman officer: EVP - Chief Credit Officer 601 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, SEATTLE WA 98101
Sandra A Cavanaugh director 601 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, SEATTLE WA 98101
Godfrey B Evans officer: EVP - General Counsel 601 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, SEATTLE WA 98101