ICMB (Investcorp Credit Management BDC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Mar. 14, 2025)

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What is Investcorp Credit Management BDC Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Investcorp Credit Management BDC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Investcorp Credit Management BDC's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Investcorp Credit Management BDC's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Investcorp Credit Management BDC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Investcorp Credit Management BDC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Investcorp Credit Management BDC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.95

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments)

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Investcorp Credit Management BDC (NAS:ICMB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Investcorp Credit Management BDC Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc (NAS:ICMB) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

280 Park Avenue, 39th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10017

Website

https://www.icmbdc.com

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc is an externally managed, non-diversified closed-end management investment firm that has elected to be regulated as a business development company (BDC). Its investment objective is to maximize total return to stockholders in the form of current income and capital appreciation by investing in debt and related equity of privately held lower middle-market companies. The company principally invests in the debt of middle-market companies, which it defines as those companies that have an enterprise value.

Executives

Suhail A. Shaikh	officer: President	C/O ALCENTRA CAPITAL CORPORATION, 200 PARK AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10166
Cyrus Capital Partners, L.p.	10 percent owner	65 EAST 55 STREET, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Rocco Delguercio	officer: CFO, CCO & Treasurer	CREDIT SUISSE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC, ONE MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10010
Investcorp Bdc Holdings Ltd	10 percent owner	CENTURY YARD, CRICKET SQUARE, ELGIN AVENUE, GEORGE TOWN E9 GRAND CAYM
Cyrus Capital Partners Gp, Llc	10 percent owner	65 EAST 55TH STREET, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Stephen C Freidheim	10 percent owner	C/O CYRUS CAPITAL PARTNERS, L.P., 65 EAST 55TH STREET, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Lee Michael Shaiman	director	C/O INVESTCORP CREDIT MANAGEMENT BDC INC, 280 PARK AVENUE, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Keith Lee	director	399 PARK AVENUE, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michael Mauer	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O ICAHN CAPITAL LP, 767 FIFTH AVE., SUITE 4700, NEW YORK NY 10153
Thomas J Sullivan	director	C/O SPIRIT REALTY CAPITAL INC., 2727 N. HARWOOD STREET, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75201
S.a. Investcorp	10 percent owner	CENTURY YARD, CRICKET SQUARE, P.O. BOX 1111, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1102
Investcorp Credit Management Us Llc	10 percent owner	280 PARK AVENUE, 36TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Sipco Holdings Ltd	10 percent owner	CENTURY YARD, CRICKET SQUARE, P.O. BOX 1111, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1102
Gerald Cummins	officer: Chief Compliance Officer	C/O OXFORD LANE CAPITAL CORP., 8 SOUND SHORE DRIVE, SUITE 255, GREENWICH CT 06830
Robert P Ryder	director	C/O CONSTELLATION BRANDS, INC., 207 HIGH POINT DRIVE, BUILDING 100, VICTOR NY 14564