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Kinsale Capital Group (Kinsale Capital Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Kinsale Capital Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kinsale Capital Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Kinsale Capital Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Kinsale Capital Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kinsale Capital Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Kinsale Capital Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kinsale Capital Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Kinsale Capital Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.48

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Kinsale Capital Group  (NYSE:KNSL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kinsale Capital Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Kinsale Capital Group (Kinsale Capital Group) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2035 Maywill Street, Suite 100, Richmond, VA, USA, 23230
Kinsale Capital Group Inc is an insurance holding company. The company is engaged in offering property, casualty, and specialty insurance products. It offers specialty insurance products for allied health, healthcare, life sciences, a professional, and a public entity. The company operates in only one reportable segment that is the Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance segment, which includes commercial excess and surplus lines liability and property insurance products through its underwriting divisions. The company generates revenues in the form of premiums and investment income.
Executives
Russell Frederick L. Jr. director 1801 LIBBIE AVENUE, SUITE 201, RICHMOND VA 23226
Brian D. Haney officer: SVP and COO C/O KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP, INC., 2035 MAYWILL STREET, SUITE 100, RICHMOND VA 23230
Michael P Kehoe director, officer: CEO and President JAMES RIVER GROUP, INC., 1414 RALEIGH ROAD, SUITE 415, CHAPEL HILL NC 27517
Hatcher Robert V. Iii director C/O KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP, INC., 2035 MAYWILL STREET, SUITE 100, RICHMOND VA 23230
Steven J Bensinger director 125 BROAD ST, NEW YORK NY 10004
Anne C. Kronenberg director C/O KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP, INC., 2035 MAYWILL STREET, SUITE 100, RICHMOND VA 23230
Bryan P. Petrucelli officer: SVP, CFO and Treasurer C/O KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP, INC., 2035 MAYWILL STREET, SUITE 100, RICHMOND VA 23230
Robert Iii Lippincott director, other: Chairman 3152 CASSEEKEY ISLAND ROAD, JUPITER FL 33477
James Joseph Ritchie director C/O CERES GROUP INC, 17800 ROYALTON ROAD, STRONGSVILLE OH 44136
Teresa Chia director C/O KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP, INC., 2035 MAYWILL STREET, SUITE 100, RICHMOND VA 23230
Diane D. Schnupp officer: SVP, Chief Information Officer C/O KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP, INC., 2035 MAYWILL STREET, SUITE 100, RICHMOND VA 23230
Gregory M Share director THREE FIRST NATIONAL PLZ, SUITE 3800, CHICAGO IL 60602
Mark J. Beachy officer: EVP and Chief Claims Officer C/O KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP, INC., 2035 MAYWILL STREET, SUITE 100, RICHMOND VA 23230
Ann Marie Marson officer: SVP and Chief Claims Officer C/O KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP, INC., 2221 EDWARD HOLLAND DRIVE, SUITE 600, RICHMOND VA 23230
Kenney William J. Jr. officer: SVP/Chief Information Officer C/O KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP, INC., 2221 EDWARD HOLLAND DRIVE, SUITE 600, RICHMOND VA 23230

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