Mister Car Wash (Mister Car Wash) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of May. 26, 2024)

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What is Mister Car Wash Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Mister Car Wash's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Mister Car Wash's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Personal Services subindustry, Mister Car Wash's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Mister Car Wash's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Personal Services Industry

For the Personal Services industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Mister Car Wash's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mister Car Wash's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Mister Car Wash Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.23

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Mister Car Wash (NYSE:MCW) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Mister Car Wash Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Mister Car Wash (Mister Car Wash) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Personal Services » Mister Car Wash Inc (NYSE:MCW) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

222 E 5th Street, Tucson, AZ, USA, 85705

Website

https://www.mistercarwash.com

Mister Car Wash Inc is a car wash brand offering express exterior and interior cleaning services. Express Exterior Locations offers express exterior cleaning services and Interior Cleaning Locations offers both express exterior and interior cleaning services. The company recognizes revenue in two main streams. It offers an Unlimited Wash Club (UWC) program to its customers. The UWC program entitles the customer to unlimited washes for a monthly fee, cancellable at any time. Second, revenue from the car wash and quick lube services.

Executives

Joseph Duane Matheny	officer: See Remarks	C/O MISTER CAR WASH, INC., 222 E 5TH STREET, TUCSON AZ 85705
Markus Hartmann	officer: General Counsel	968 JAMES STREET, SYRACUSE NY 13203
John Lo-minn Lai	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O MISTER CAR WASH, INC., 222 E 5TH STREET, TUCSON AZ 85705
Myra I. Chimienti	officer: See Remarks	C/O MISTER CAR WASH, INC., 222 E 5TH STREET, TUCSON AZ 85705
Jedidiah Marc Gold	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O MISTER CAR WASH, INC., 222 E 5TH STREET, TUCSON AZ 85705
Mary Lyn Porter	officer: Chief People Officer	C/O MISTER CAR WASH, INC., 222 E 5TH STREET, TUCSON AZ 85705
Casey Penn Lindsay	officer: See Remarks	C/O MISTER CAR WASH, INC., 222 E 5TH STREET, TUCSON AZ 85705
Lisa Bossard Funk	officer: General Counsel	C/O MISTER CAR WASH, INC., 222 E 5TH STREET, TUCSON AZ 85705
Veronica Rogers	director	C/O MISTER CAR WASH, INC., 222 E 5TH STREET, TUCSON AZ 85705
Ronald Kirk	director	TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INCORPORATED, 12500 TI BOULEVARD MS 3999, DALLAS TX 75243
Green Equity Investors Vi, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	11111 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
John Kristofer Galashan	director, 10 percent owner	LEONARD, GREEN & PARTNERS, 11111 SANTA MONICA BLVD., SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Lgp Associates Vi-a Llc	director, 10 percent owner	11111 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Susan E Docherty	director	THE BRINK'S COMPANY, 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, 4TH FLOOR, RICHMOND VA 23226
Lgp Associates Vi-b Llc	director, 10 percent owner	11111 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 2000, LOS ANGELES CA 90025