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Miller Industries (Miller Industries) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Miller Industries Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Miller Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Miller Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Miller Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Miller Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Miller Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Miller Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Miller Industries Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.55

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Miller Industries  (NYSE:MLR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Miller Industries Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Miller Industries (Miller Industries) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
8503 Hilltop Drive, Ooltewah, TN, USA, 37363
Miller Industries Inc is engaged in the manufacturing of vehicle towing and recovery equipment. The company produces wreckers, car carriers, and trailer bodies under the Century, Vulcan, Challenger, Holmes, Champion, Chevron, Eagle, Titan, Jige, and Boniface brands. The products are sold primarily in North America, Canada, and Mexico through independent distributors.
Executives
Jill Sutton director 313 IRON HORSE WAY, PROVIDENCE RI 02908
Peter Lee Jackson director 8503 HILLTOP DRIVE, OOLTEWAH TN 37363
Javier A Reyes director 65 FALLING WATER LANE, MORGANTOWN WV 26508
Susan E Sweeney director 5605 CARNEGIE BLVD. SUITE 500, CHARLOTTE NC 28209
Jeffrey I Badgley officer: Co-CEO
Miller William G. Ii director, officer: CEO and President 8503 HILLTOP DRIVE, OOLTEWAH TN 37363
Josias W. Reyneke officer: Chief Information Officer 8503 HILLTOP DRIVE, OOLTEWAH TN 37363
Deborah L Whitmire director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 8503 HILLTOP DRIVE, OOLTEWAH TN 37363
Frank Madonia officer: Executive VP, Secretary & GC
Vincent J. Tiano officer: Vice President and CRO 8515 CAVANAUGH LANE, HIXSON TN 37343
Jamison Linden officer: Vice President and CMO 8503 HILLTOP DRIVE, OOLTEWAH TN 37363
Leigh Walton director 150 THIRD AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 2800, NASHVILLE TN 37201
Ashford Theodore H. Iii director 909 STUART ROAD, WILMINGTON DE 19807
Richard H Roberts director C/O MILLER INDUSTRIES, INC., 8503 HILLTOP DRIVE, OOLTEWAH TN 37363
Chandler A Russell Iii director C/O KILPATRICK STOCKTON LLP, 110 PEACHTREE STREET SUITE 2800, ATLANTA GA 30309

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