GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » MobileSmith Inc (OTCPK:MOSTQ) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

MOSTQ (MobileSmith) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Sep. 25, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2005. Start your Free Trial

What is MobileSmith Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, MobileSmith's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of MobileSmith's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Health Information Services subindustry, MobileSmith's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MobileSmith's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, MobileSmith's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MobileSmith's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



MobileSmith Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


MobileSmith  (OTCPK:MOSTQ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


MobileSmith Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MobileSmith's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


MobileSmith Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5400 Trinity Road, Suite 208, Raleigh, NC, USA, 27607
MobileSmith Inc is a developer of software applications for the healthcare industry. Its software products include a cloud-based collection of applications that run on its architected healthcare technology ecosystem. The architecture is designed to improve experience of healthcare patients and consumers, who are often at the same time members of various medical insurance networks; optimize delivery of healthcare and relationship between members and insurance networks; and increase adoption, utilization and intelligence of EMRs (electronic medical records), extend EMR's usability to patients and consumers of healthcare. It derives revenue from contracts for subscription to the suite of e-health mobile solutions and, ancillary services provided in connection with subscription services.
Executives
Christopher John Caramanico director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 2122 KIPAWA ST., RALEIGH NC 27607
Elchanan Epstein director 59 ABBEY WOODS LN, DALLAS TX 75248-7900
Jerry Lepore director 2660 CROOKED STICK LN, MT PLEASANT SC 29466
Robert L Smith director PARACELSUS HEALTHCARE CORP, 515 W GREENS ROAD SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77067
Raymond C Hemmig director 2701 E. PLANO PKWY, #200, PLANO TX 75074
Randy Tomlin director 6800 GREENHILL CT., PARKER TX 75002
Bob Dieterle officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O MOBILESMITH, INC., 5400 TRINITY RD., SUITE 208, RALEIGH NC 27607
Jon Campbell director C/O SMART ONLINE, INC., 4505 EMPEROR BLVD., SUITE 320, DURHAM NC 27703
Gleb Mikhailov officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SMART ONLINE, INC., 4505 EMPEROR BLVD., SUITE 320, DURHAM NC 27703
Ronen Shviki director 5 HAMEIRI STREET, RAMAT GAN L3 52651
Avy Lugassy 10 percent owner 126 CHEMIN DES HAUTS CRETS, 1253, VANDOEUVRES, GENEVA V8 00000
Brinson Robert Maddox Jr. director 29 DOVER DR SE, ROME GA 30161
Amir Elbaz director 5115 CAMPUS DRIVE, PLYMOUTH MEETING PA 19462
Thaddeus J Shalek officer: Interim CFO 14679 CANOPY DRIVE, TAMPA FL 33626
Roberta B Hardy director 4505 EMPEROR BLVD., SUITE 320, DURHAM NC 27703