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The Walt Disney Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.06% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, The Walt Disney Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, The Walt Disney Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

The Walt Disney Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, The Walt Disney Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Walt Disney Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



The Walt Disney Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.45

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


The Walt Disney Co  (NYSE:DIS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


The Walt Disney Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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The Walt Disney Co Business Description

The Walt Disney Co logo
Industry
Address
500 South Buena Vista Street, Burbank, CA, USA, 91521
Walt Disney owns the rights to some of the most globally recognized characters, from Mickey Mouse to Luke Skywalker. These characters and others are featured in several Disney theme parks around the world. Disney makes live-action and animated films under studios such as Pixar, Marvel, and Lucasfilm and also operates media networks including ESPN and several TV production studios. Disney recently reorganized into four segments with one new segment: direct-to-consumer and international. The new segment includes the two announced OTT offerings, ESPN+ and the Disney SVOD service. The plan also combines two segments, parks and resorts and consumer products, into one. The media networks group contains the U.S. cable channels and ABC. The studio segment holds the movie production assets.
Executives
Woodford Brent officer: EVP, Control, Fin Plan & Tax 1441 GARDINER LANE LOUISVILLE KY 40213
Desouza Francis A director 350 ELLIS STREET MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Rice Derica W director LILLY CORPORATE CENTER INDIANAPOLIS IN 46285
Catz Safra director C/O DELPHI ASSET MGMT CORPORATION 5525 KIETZKE LANE, SUITE 200 RENO NV 89511
Arnold Susan E director THE PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY 1 PROCTER & GAMBLE PLAZA CINCINNATI OH 45202
Lagomasino Maria Elena director 345 PARK AVENUE 5TH FL NEW YORK NY 10154
Parker Mark G director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: PARKER MARK G a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Barra Mary T director 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER M/C: 482-C25-A36 DETROIT MI 48265-3000
Froman Michael B. G. director 2000 PURCHASE STREET PURCHASE NY 10577
Chapek Robert A officer: Chief Executive Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET BURBANK CA 91521
Braverman Alan N officer: Sr EVP, General Counsel & Secy 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA ST BURBANK CA 91521-1030
Iger Robert A director, officer: Chairman and CEO C/O WALT DISNEY CO 500 S BUENA VISTA STREET BURBANK CA 91521-1062
Mccarthy Christine M officer: SEVP-Chief Financial Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET BURBANK CA 91521-0964
Parker Mary Jayne officer: SEVP and Chief HR Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET BURBANK CA 91521-0966
Mucha Zenia B. officer: SEVP & Chief Comms Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET BURBANK CA 91521

The Walt Disney Co Headlines

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