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Franklin Covey Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.01% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Franklin Covey Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Consulting Services subindustry, Franklin Covey Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Franklin Covey Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Franklin Covey Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Franklin Covey Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Franklin Covey Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.48

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Franklin Covey Co  (NYSE:FC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Franklin Covey Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Franklin Covey Co Business Description

Franklin Covey Co logo
Industry
Industrials » Business Services NAICS : 541611 SIC : 8742
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2200 West Parkway Boulevard, Salt Lake City, UT, USA, 84119-2331
Franklin Covey Co is a global company focused on organizational performance improvement. It focuses on providing time management and effectiveness training for individuals and corporations via online training as well as in-person workshops and events. The company provides training and consulting services in the areas of leadership, execution, productivity, trust, sales performance, customer loyalty, and educational improvement. It operates in the business segments of Direct Offices, Education practice and International Licensees. The company derives revenue from providing training and consulting services, and through the selling of books, audio media, and other related products. It has a business presence in the United States and other international countries.
Executives
Whitman Robert A director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 4200 TEXAS COMMERCE TOWER WEST 2200 ROSS AVE DALLAS TX 75201
Young Stephen D officer: Chief Financial Officer PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: YOUNG STEPHEN D a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Davis Clifton Todd officer: VP People Services 2200 WEST PARKWAY BLVD. SALT LAKE CITY UT 84119
Covey Michael Sean Merrill officer: SVP Innovations and Marketing 2200 WEST PARKWAY BLVD. SALT LAKE CITY UT 84119
Miller Scott Jeffery officer: EVP Bus Development/Marketing 2200 WEST PARKWAY BLVD. SALT LAKE CITY UT 84119
Dom Colleen D officer: EVP Operations 2200 WEST PARKWAY BLVD SALT LAKE CITY UT 84119
Walker Paul S officer: EVP, Direct Offices Division 2200 WEST PARKWAY BLVD. SALT LAKE CITY UT 84119
Stepp Esther Kay director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: STEPP ESTHER KAY a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Phillips Nancy R director 1515 BROADWAY NEW YORK NY 10036
Fung Michael director 2200 WEST PARKWAY BLVD SALT LAKE CITY UT 84119
Mcnamara Donald J director 4200 TEXAS COMMERCE TOWER WEST 2200 ROSS AVE SUITE 4200 DALLAS TX 75201
Chow Anne H director 2200 WEST PARKWAY BLVD. SALT LAKE CITY UT 84119
Heiner Dennis Grant director 2220 WEST PARKWAY BLVD SALT LAKE CITY UT 84119
Van Bever Derek C M director 2200 WEST PARKWAY BLVD. SALT LAKE CITY UT 84119
Peterson Joel Clinton director C/O JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORPORATION 27-01 QUEENS PLAZA NORTH LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11101

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