>
Switch to:

LendingClub Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.02% (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 2014. Start your Free Trial

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, LendingClub's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, LendingClub's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

LendingClub Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, LendingClub's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where LendingClub's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



LendingClub Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.66

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Cash and cash equivalents + Money Market Investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


LendingClub  (NYSE:LC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


LendingClub Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of LendingClub's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


LendingClub Business Description

LendingClub logo
Industry
Financial Services » Credit Services NAICS : 525990 SIC : 6153
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
595 Market Street, Suite 200, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94105
LendingClub Corp is a company engaged in operating an online lending marketplace platform that connects borrowers and investors for the provision of the loan facility. It offers investors access to an asset class that has generally been closed to many investors and only available on a limited basis to institutional investors. The company through the platform offer loan products such as personal, education and patient finance, small business and auto to interested investors. It generates a majority of the revenue from the transaction fees received from the platform's role in accepting and decisioning applications on behalf of the bank partners to enable loan originations.
Executives
Kay Valerie officer: Chief Capital Officer C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 71 STEVENSON ST, SUITE 1000 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Casey Thomas W officer: Chief Financial Officer 1201 THIRD AVE SEATTLE WA 98101
Koohestani Bahman officer: Chief Technology Officer 500 W. MADISON STREET #1000 CHICAGO IL 60661
Stack Fergal officer: SVP, Corporate Controller C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 71 STEVENSON ST., SUITE 300 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Pace Brandon officer: General Counsel and Secretary C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 595 MARKET ST, SUITE 200 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Sanborn Scott officer: CEO C/O REDENVELOPE, INC. 149 NEW MONTGOMERY STREET SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Bogan Timothy officer: Chief Risk Officer C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 71 STEVENSON ST, SUITE 300 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Armstrong Annie officer: Chief Risk Officer C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 595 MARKET ST. #200 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Momen Ronnie officer: Chief Lending Officer C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Denman Kenneth D director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: DENMAN KENNETH D a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Zeisser Michael P director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: ZEISSER MICHAEL P a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Williams Simon director C/O THE STUDENT LOAN CORPORATION 750 WASHINGTON BLVD., 9TH FLOOR STAMFORD CT 06901
Ciporin Daniel T director C/O VISTAPRINT USA, INC. 100 HAYDEN AVE LEXINGTON MA 02421
Mayopoulos Timothy J director C/O FANNIE MAE 1100 15TH STREET, NW WASHINGTON DC 20005
Morris John C. director C/O VISA INC. P.O. BOX 8999 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94128-8999

LendingClub Headlines

Other Sources

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)