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Peloton Interactive (Peloton Interactive) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.49% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Peloton Interactive Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Peloton Interactive's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.49%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Peloton Interactive's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Leisure subindustry, Peloton Interactive's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Peloton Interactive's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Peloton Interactive's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Peloton Interactive's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Peloton Interactive Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.31

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.49%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Peloton Interactive  (NAS:PTON) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Peloton Interactive Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Peloton Interactive (Peloton Interactive) Business Description

Address
441 Ninth Avenue, Sixth Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10001
Peloton Interactive Inc operates an interactive fitness platform. It operates its business in two reportable segments: Connected Fitness Products and Subscription. Connected Fitness Product revenue consists of sales of bike and tread and related accessories, associated fees for delivery and installation, and extended warranty agreements. Subscription revenue consists of revenue generated from monthly Connected Fitness Subscription and Digital Subscription. The company generates the majority of the revenue from the sale of Connected Fitness Products.
Executives
Elizabeth F Coddington officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O PELOTON INTERACTIVE, INC., 441 NINTH AVENUE, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Andrew S Rendich officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 100 WINCHESTER CIRCLE, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Jennifer Cunningham Cotter officer: Chief Content Officer C/O PELOTON INTERACTIVE, INC., 441 NINTH AVENUE, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Leslie Berland officer: Chief Marketing Officer C/O PELOTON INTERACTIVE, INC., 441 NINTH AVENUE, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Saqib Baig officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O PELOTON INTERACTIVE, INC., 441 NINTH AVENUE, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Nick V. Caldwell officer: Chief Product Officer C/O HUBSPOT, INC., 25 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Thomas Cortese officer: COO and Head of Prod. Dev. C/O PELOTON INTERACTIVE, INC., 441 NINTH AVENUE, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Allen J Klingsick officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O PELOTON INTERACTIVE, INC., 441 NINTH AVENUE, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Kevin Cornils officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O PELOTON INTERACTIVE, INC., 441 NINTH AVENUE, SIXTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Jill Woodworth officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O PELOTON INTERACTIVE, INC., 125 WEST 25TH STREET, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
William Lynch director, officer: President C/O HSN, INC., 1 HSN DRIVE, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33729
Mariana Garavaglia officer: Chief Bus. Operations Officer 6600 CHASE OAKS BLVD, PLANO TX 75023
Barry Mccarthy director, officer: CEO and President 100 WINCHESTER CIRCLE, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Angel L Mendez director C/O SLEEP NUMBER CORPORATION, 1001 THIRD AVENUE SOUTH, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55404
Jonathan Mildenhall director C/O GRAUBARD MILLER, 405 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10174