Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, RBB Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
RBB Bancorp (NAS:RBB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
RBB Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
RBB vs WTBA, NEWT, CBK: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Banks - Regional subindustry, RBB Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
RBB Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Banks Industry
For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, RBB Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where RBB Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
RBB Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-7.65
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% mean?
RBB Bancorp (RBB) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is RBB Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
RBB Bancorp's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. Overall, RBB Bancorp has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does RBB Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to WTBA and NEWT?
RBB Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Banks company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Banks industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. RBB Bancorp's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is RBB Bancorp stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, RBB Bancorp (RBB) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $21.62, compared to a current price of $26.61 — trading 23.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. RBB Bancorp's overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For RBB Bancorp (RBB), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is RBB Bancorp (RBB) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, RBB Bancorp stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $26.61 is trading 23.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $21.62.
GuruFocus considers RBB Bancorp to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for RBB:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.05%
GF Value™: $21.62 vs. price of $26.61 (23.1% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the RBB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
RBB Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It provides various banking products and services such as checking, savings, money market accounts, and certificates of deposits. Its Specific services include remote deposit, E-banking, mobile banking, commercial and investor real estate loans, business loans and lines of credit, Small Business Administration (SBA) 7A and 504 loans, mortgage loans, trade finance, and a full range of depository accounts. It generates its revenue from interest received on loans and leases and, to a lesser extent, from interest received on investment securities and derives income from noninterest sources, such as fees received in connection with various lending and deposit services, loan servicing, gain on sales of loans, and wealth management services.
62GF Score
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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