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Roblox (Roblox) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.08% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Roblox Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Roblox's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Roblox's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia subindustry, Roblox's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Roblox's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Roblox's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Roblox's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Roblox Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.12

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.08%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Roblox  (NYSE:RBLX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Roblox Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Roblox (Roblox) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
970 Park Place, San Mateo, CA, USA, 94403
Roblox operates an online video game platform that lets young gamers create, develop, and monetize games (or "experiences") for other players. The firm effectively offers its developers a hybrid of a game engine, publishing platform, online hosting and services, marketplace with payment processing, and social network. The platform is a closed garden that Roblox controls, earning revenue in multiple places while benefiting from outsourced game development. Unlike traditional video game publishers, Roblox is more focused on the creation of new tools and monetization techniques for its developers then creating new games or franchises.
Executives
Mark Reinstra officer: Gen. Counsel & Secretary 970 PARK PLACE, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Gregory Baszucki director 970 PARK PLACE, SAN MATEO CA 94403
David Baszucki director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CEO 970 PARK PLACE, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Amy Marie Rawlings officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O ZYNGA INC., 699 8TH STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Manuel Bronstein officer: Chief Product Officer 970 PARK PLACE, SUITE 100, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Han Kim 10 percent owner 2882 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Daniel Sturman officer: Chief Technology Officer 970 PARK PLACE, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Barbara Messing officer: CMKtg & People Exper Officer C/O XO GROUP INC., 195 BROADWAY, 25TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10007
Michael Guthrie officer: Chief Financial Officer TRUECAR, INC., 120 BROADWAY, SUITE 200, SANTA MONICA CA 90401
Jason Kilar director 208 S. AKARD ST, DALLAS TX 75202
Craig Donato officer: Chief Business Officer 970 PARK PLACE, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Altos Management Partners Iv Lr Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 2882 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Deepika Gupta officer: Principal Accounting Officer C/O ROBLOX CORPORATION, 970 PARK PLACE, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Brett Tolley officer: Principal Accounting Officer 970 PARK PLACE, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Altos Hybrid 2, L.p. 10 percent owner 2882 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025