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Skillz (Skillz) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Jul. 13, 2024)


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What is Skillz Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Skillz's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Skillz's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia subindustry, Skillz's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Skillz's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Skillz's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Skillz's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Skillz Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.44

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Skillz  (NYSE:SKLZ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Skillz Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Skillz (Skillz) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
P.O. Box 445, San francisco, CA, USA, 94104
Skillz Inc is a mobile game development company. It is engaged in re-inventing competitive mobile gaming and thereby expanding the mobile gaming market.
Executives
Jason Roswig officer: President & CFO PO BOX 445, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Andrew Paradise director, officer: Chief Executive Officer SKILLZ INC., C/O CHARLOTTE EDELMAN, P.O. BOX 445, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104-0445
Andrew Dahlinghaus officer: General Counsel P.O. BOX 445, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Kevin Chessen director 1061 MARKET STREET, 6TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Elly Ryu officer: Controller/Head of Accounting 245 FIRST STREET, SUITE 1800, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Alvin Lobo officer: Chief Financial Officer P.O. BOX 445, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Alexander Mandel director 1061 MARKET STREET, 6TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Stanley Mbugua officer: Chief Accounting Officer SKILLZ INC, PO BOX 455, SAN FRAN CA 94104
Seth Schorr director PO BOX 445, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Henry M. Hoffman director PO BOX 445, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Shari Glazer director PO BOX 445, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Harry Sloan director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO, Chairman 1450 2ND STREET, SUITE 247, SANTA MONICA CA 90401
Jerome Leon Bruckheimer director PHILPOTT MEEKS, 10030 VENTURA BOULEVARD, SUITE 380, ENCINO CA 91436
Christopher S Gaffney director C/O GREAT HILL PARTNERS, L.P., 200 CLARENDON STREET, 29TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Casey Chafkin director, officer: Chief Revenue Officer SKILLZ INC., C/O CHARLOTTE EDELMAN, P.O. BOX 445, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104-0445