GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » Wilhelmina International Inc (NAS:WHLM) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

WHLM (Wilhelmina International) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1996. Start your Free Trial

What is Wilhelmina International Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Wilhelmina International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Wilhelmina International's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Wilhelmina International's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Wilhelmina International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Wilhelmina International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Wilhelmina International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Wilhelmina International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.41

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Wilhelmina International  (NAS:WHLM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Wilhelmina International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Wilhelmina International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Wilhelmina International Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5420 Lyndon B Johnson Freeway, Box No. 25, Dallas, TX, USA, 75240
Wilhelmina International Inc is engaged in the business of fashion model management. The company provides traditional, full-service fashion model and talent management services, specializing in the representation and management of models, entertainers, artists, athletes and another talent to various clients which include retailers, designers, advertising agencies, print and electronic media and catalog companies. In addition, the company is also engaged in providing fashion modeling and talent product endorsement services to clients such as advertising agencies, branded consumer goods companies, fashion designers, magazine publications, retailers, department stores, product catalogs and Internet sites.
Executives
Retail Ecommerce Ventures Llc 10 percent owner 1680 MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 700, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Aimee Nelson director 2125 BISCAYNE BLVD SUITE 253, MIAMI FL 33137
Modell's Sporting Goods Online Inc. 10 percent owner 1680 MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 700, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Alexander Mehr director, 10 percent owner C/O ZOOSK, INC., 989 MARKET STREET, FIFTH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Rev Alpha Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 1680 MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 700, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Tai Lopez 10 percent owner C/O WILHELMINA INTERNATIONAL, INC., 200 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1400, DALLAS TX 75201
Dieter Esch 10 percent owner 1090 PRIMROSE PLACE, PARK CITY UT 84098
Maya Burkenroad director C/O WILHELMINA INTERNATIONAL, INC., 200 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1400, DALLAS TX 75201
Ralph Bartel 10 percent owner CASELLA POSTALE 823, 6612 ASCONA V8 6612
James Andrew Mccarthy officer: Chief Financial Officer 300 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, NEW YORK NY 10010
William Wackermann officer: Chief Executive Officer 300 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, 2ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10010
David Chaiken officer: Chief Accounting Officer WILHELMINA MODELS, INC., 300 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, NEW YORK NY 10010
James C Roddey director 20 STANWIX STREET, SUITE 800, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Ncm Services, Inc. 10 percent owner 5420 LYNDON B. JOHNSON FREEWAY, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75240
Alex Vaickus officer: Chief Executive Officer PLAYBOY ENT., INC. - H. SHAPIRO, 680 N LAKE SHORE DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60611