Camelot Ghana (XGHA:CMLT) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00% (As of Jul. 30, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XGHA:CMLT Camelot Ghana Ltd XGHA:CMLT
49 GF Score
Price GHS0.14
GF Value GHS0.27
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Camelot Ghana Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Camelot Ghana XGHA:CMLT 49 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jul. 30, 2026. GuruFocus rates XGHA:CMLT with a GF Score™ of 49/100 and a GF Value™ of GHS0.27. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Camelot Ghana's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Camelot Ghana  (XGHA:CMLT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Camelot Ghana Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


XGHA:CMLT vs CTAS, CPRT, GPN: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Camelot Ghana's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Camelot Ghana Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Camelot Ghana's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Camelot Ghana's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


XGHA:CMLT
49GF Score
Camelot Ghana Ltd XGHA:CMLT
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Camelot Ghana Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-10.09

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% mean?
Camelot Ghana (XGHA:CMLT) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% as of Jul. 30, 2026.
Is Camelot Ghana's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Camelot Ghana's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Overall, Camelot Ghana has a GF Score™ of 49/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Camelot Ghana's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to CTAS and CPRT?
Camelot Ghana's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% can be compared against companies in the Business Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Business Services company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Camelot Ghana's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Camelot Ghana stock overvalued right now?
Camelot Ghana (XGHA:CMLT) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00%. The stock's GF Value™ is GHS0.27, compared to a current price of GHS0.14 — trading 48.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Camelot Ghana's overall GF Score™ is 49/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Camelot Ghana (XGHA:CMLT), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jul. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Camelot Ghana (XGHA:CMLT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Camelot Ghana stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of GHS0.14 is trading 48.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of GHS0.27.

Key valuation signals for XGHA:CMLT:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00%
  • GF Value™: GHS0.27 vs. price of GHS0.14 (48.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 49/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XGHA:CMLT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Camelot Ghana Business Description

Address Osu - La Road, A970 H/No. F.378/3, Osu, P.O. Box M191, Opposite Ghana Commercial Bank Osu Branch, Accra, GHA
Camelot Ghana Ltd engages in the printing of security documents and business forms. It is involved in security printing, business forms manufacture, and design facility. The company focuses on three production lines: security stationery, continuous and cut sheet stationery, and Local Government. Under the security stationary, the company offers cheque printing, voucher printing, ticket printing, etc. Under the continuous and cut sheet stationery the company offers Insurance Company Forms, Optical Character Recognition (OCR) Forms, Bankers Drafts, Listing Paper - standard and special size, and Airline Board Passes. Under the Local Government stationary, the company offers council tax forms, poll cards, electoral ballot papers, revenue collection tickets, receipts, payroll stationery, etc.
49GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XGHA:CMLT

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

GHS0.14
Price
GHS0.27
GF Value