FedEx (XSWX:FDX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: CHF6.07 (As of Feb. 2026)


XSWX:FDX FedEx Corp XSWX:FDX
83 GF Score
Price CHF262.36
GF Value CHF186.62
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is FedEx Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

FedEx XSWX:FDX -0.22% 83 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF6.07 as of Feb. 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:FDX with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF186.62. The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

FedEx's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Feb. 2026 was CHF3.357. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is CHF6.07 for the trailing ten years ended in Feb. 2026.

During the past 12 months, FedEx's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 26.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 27.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 33.80% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of FedEx was 91.30% per year. The lowest was -17.10% per year. And the median was 10.10% per year.

As of today (2026-06-30), FedEx's current stock price is CHF262.36. FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Feb. 2026 was CHF6.07. FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 43.22.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of FedEx was 169.12. The lowest was 25.99. And the median was 61.25.


FedEx  (XSWX:FDX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=262.36/6.07
=43.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of FedEx was 169.12. The lowest was 25.99. And the median was 61.25.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


FedEx Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


FedEx Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

FedEx Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

FedEx Annual Data
Trend May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.54 1.38 2.72 3.29 3.51

FedEx Quarterly Data
May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.78 4.74 4.81 4.37 6.07

XSWX:FDX vs UPS, JBHT, FDXF: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FedEx Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


XSWX:FDX
83GF Score
FedEx Corp XSWX:FDX
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

FedEx Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, FedEx's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Feb. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Feb. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Feb. 2026)
=3.357/326.7850*326.7850
=3.357

Current CPI (Feb. 2026) = 326.7850.

FedEx Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201605 2.349 240.229 3.195
201608 -0.881 240.849 -1.195
201611 0.731 241.353 0.990
201702 -4.059 243.603 -5.445
201705 3.505 244.733 4.680
201708 -1.611 245.519 -2.144
201711 -2.439 246.669 -3.231
201802 -5.856 248.991 -7.686
201805 6.755 251.588 8.774
201808 -1.756 252.146 -2.276
201811 0.087 252.038 0.113
201902 0.080 252.776 0.103
201905 2.149 256.092 2.742
201908 -3.186 256.558 -4.058
201911 -1.285 257.208 -1.633
202002 -0.876 258.678 -1.107
202005 2.427 256.394 3.093
202008 4.245 259.918 5.337
202011 3.986 260.229 5.005
202102 2.614 263.014 3.248
202105 3.534 269.195 4.290
202108 1.735 273.567 2.073
202111 1.461 277.948 1.718
202202 3.524 283.716 4.059
202205 4.216 292.296 4.713
202208 1.180 296.171 1.302
202211 -1.283 297.711 -1.408
202302 3.652 300.840 3.967
202305 6.007 304.127 6.455
202308 3.250 307.026 3.459
202311 1.650 307.051 1.756
202402 0.810 310.326 0.853
202405 5.482 314.069 5.704
202408 1.459 314.796 1.515
202411 1.805 315.493 1.870
202502 3.789 319.082 3.880
202505 3.617 321.465 3.677
202508 3.701 323.976 3.733
202511 4.066 324.122 4.099
202602 3.357 326.785 3.357

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF6.07 mean?
FedEx (XSWX:FDX) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF6.07 as of Feb. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on FedEx and its competitors.
Is FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
FedEx's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF6.07. Overall, FedEx has a GF Score™ of 83/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to UPS and JBHT?
FedEx's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF6.07 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Transportation company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on FedEx and its competitors. FedEx's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF6.07. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is FedEx stock overvalued right now?
FedEx (XSWX:FDX) has a current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF6.07. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF186.62, compared to a current price of CHF262.36 — trading 40.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF6.07. FedEx's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For FedEx (XSWX:FDX), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF6.07 as of Feb. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is FedEx (XSWX:FDX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, FedEx stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF262.36 is trading 40.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF186.62.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:FDX:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: CHF6.07
  • GF Value™: CHF186.62 vs. price of CHF262.36 (40.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:FDX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


FedEx Business Description

Address 942 South Shady Grove Road, Memphis, TN, USA, 38120
FedEx pioneered overnight delivery in 1973 and remains the world's largest express package provider. Following the June 2026 spinoff of FedEx Freight (less-than-truckload shipping), the firm's Federal Express segment—which houses the core package delivery operations—makes up more than 95% of total revenue (previously 87%). The remainder stems from other services, including FedEx Office, which provides document production/shipping, and FedEx Logistics, which provides global forwarding. FedEx acquired Dutch parcel delivery firm TNT Express in 2016, boosting its presence across Europe. TNT was previously the fourth-largest global parcel delivery provider.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:FDX

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF262.36
Price
CHF186.62
GF Value