FedEx (XSWX:FDX) Beneish M-Score: -2.71 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


XSWX:FDX FedEx Corp XSWX:FDX
81 GF Score
Price CHF262.94
GF Value CHF191.07
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is FedEx Beneish M-Score?

FedEx XSWX:FDX -0.03% 81 Beneish M-Score is -2.71 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:FDX with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF191.07. The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, FedEx ranks worse than 59.42% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.71 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for FedEx's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:FDX' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.91   Med: -2.67   Max: -2.34
Current: -2.71

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of FedEx was -2.34. The lowest was -2.91. And the median was -2.67.


FedEx Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for FedEx's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

FedEx Beneish M-Score Chart

FedEx Annual Data
Trend May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.72 -2.69 -2.78 -2.91 -2.71

FedEx Quarterly Data
May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.60 -2.48 -2.53 0.00 0.00

XSWX:FDX vs UPS, JBHT, FDXFw: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, FedEx's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FedEx Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, FedEx's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FedEx's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XSWX:FDX
81GF Score
FedEx Corp XSWX:FDX
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

FedEx Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of FedEx for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0179+0.528 * 0.9837+0.404 * 0.9735+0.892 * 0.9847+0.115 * 0.9846
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.044755-0.327 * 0.9841
=-2.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (May24) TTM:Last Year (May23) TTM:
Total Receivables was CHF9,167 Mil.
Revenue was CHF79,695 Mil.
Gross Profit was CHF17,224 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CHF16,547 Mil.
Total Assets was CHF79,072 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CHF53,261 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CHF3,896 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CHF0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CHF12,137 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CHF31,979 Mil.
Net Income was CHF3,936 Mil.
Gross Profit was CHF-79 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was CHF7,554 Mil.
Total Receivables was CHF9,146 Mil.
Revenue was CHF80,932 Mil.
Gross Profit was CHF17,205 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CHF16,706 Mil.
Total Assets was CHF78,228 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CHF52,107 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CHF3,749 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CHF0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CHF12,196 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CHF32,152 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(9167.066 / 79695.398) / (9145.768 / 80932.143)
=0.115026 / 0.113005
=1.0179

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(17205.318 / 80932.143) / (17223.578 / 79695.398)
=0.212589 / 0.216118
=0.9837

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (16546.522 + 53261.133) / 79071.962) / (1 - (16706.197 + 52106.996) / 78228.271)
=0.117163 / 0.120354
=0.9735

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=79695.398 / 80932.143
=0.9847

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3748.795 / (3748.795 + 52106.996)) / (3896.026 / (3896.026 + 53261.133))
=0.067116 / 0.068163
=0.9846

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 79695.398) / (0 / 80932.143)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((31978.854 + 12137.024) / 79071.962) / ((32152.023 + 12196.152) / 78228.271)
=0.557921 / 0.566907
=0.9841

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3936.013 - -79.066 - 7553.946) / 79071.962
=-0.044755

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

FedEx has a M-score of -2.70 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.71 mean?
FedEx (XSWX:FDX) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.71 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on FedEx and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, FedEx ranks #574 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 59.4%.
Is FedEx's Beneish M-Score too high?
FedEx's current Beneish M-Score is -2.71. Based on the distribution chart, FedEx ranks #574 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, FedEx has a GF Score™ of 81/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does FedEx's Beneish M-Score compare to UPS and JBHT?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, FedEx ranks #574 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places FedEx in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on FedEx and its competitors. FedEx's current Beneish M-Score is -2.71. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is FedEx stock overvalued right now?
FedEx (XSWX:FDX) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.71. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF191.07, compared to a current price of CHF262.94 — trading 37.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.71. FedEx's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For FedEx (XSWX:FDX), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.71 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is FedEx (XSWX:FDX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, FedEx stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF262.94 is trading 37.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF191.07.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:FDX:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.71
  • GF Value™: CHF191.07 vs. price of CHF262.94 (37.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:FDX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


FedEx Business Description

Address 942 South Shady Grove Road, Memphis, TN, USA, 38120
FedEx pioneered overnight delivery in 1973 and remains the world's largest express package provider. Following the June 2026 spinoff of FedEx Freight (less-than-truckload shipping), the firm's Federal Express segment—which houses the core package delivery operations—makes up more than 95% of total revenue (previously 87%). The remainder stems from other services, including FedEx Office, which provides document production/shipping, and FedEx Logistics, which provides global forwarding. FedEx acquired Dutch parcel delivery firm TNT Express in 2016, boosting its presence across Europe. TNT was previously the fourth-largest global parcel delivery provider.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:FDX

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF262.94
Price
CHF191.07
GF Value