DLTR (Dollar Tree) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 3.51 (As of Jul. 22, 2026) — 39% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

DLTR Dollar Tree Inc DLTR
77 GF Score
Price $122.15
GF Value $146.93
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

Dollar Tree DLTR -2.86% 77 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 3.51 as of Jul. 22, 2026, which is 39% below its 10-year median of 5.71. GuruFocus rates DLTR with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of $146.93 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 233 Retail - Defensive companies, Dollar Tree ranks worse than 71.24% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-22), Dollar Tree's current share price is $122.15. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2026 was $34.76. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 3.51.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

DLTR' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.84   Med: 5.71   Max: 13.3
Current: 3.62

During the past years, Dollar Tree's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 13.30. The lowest was 1.84. And the median was 5.71.

DLTR's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked worse than
71.24% of 233 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 1.63 vs DLTR: 3.62

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Dollar Tree's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was $18.134. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is $34.76 for the trailing ten years ended in Apr. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Dollar Tree  (NAS:DLTR) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

Dollar Tree Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.85 5.60 4.25 2.18 3.44

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.39 3.31 2.89 3.44 2.79

DLTR vs DG, BJ, PSMT: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


DLTR
77GF Score
Dollar Tree Inc DLTR
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=122.15/34.76
=3.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Dollar Tree's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Apr. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Apr. 2026)
=18.134/333.0200*333.0200
=18.134

Current CPI (Apr. 2026) = 333.0200.

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201607 20.606 240.628 28.518
201610 21.389 241.729 29.467
201701 22.824 242.839 31.300
201704 23.697 244.524 32.273
201707 24.747 244.786 33.667
201710 25.797 246.663 34.829
201801 30.263 247.867 40.660
201804 30.932 250.546 41.114
201807 32.146 252.006 42.480
201810 33.374 252.885 43.950
201901 23.701 251.712 31.357
201904 24.225 255.548 31.569
201907 24.771 256.571 32.152
201910 25.861 257.346 33.466
202001 26.422 257.971 34.109
202004 27.490 256.389 35.706
202007 28.713 259.101 36.905
202010 29.597 260.388 37.853
202101 31.216 261.582 39.741
202104 31.973 267.054 39.871
202107 31.177 273.003 38.031
202110 32.212 276.589 38.784
202201 34.289 281.148 40.615
202204 36.548 289.109 42.099
202207 37.501 296.276 42.152
202210 37.411 298.012 41.806
202301 39.560 299.170 44.036
202304 40.334 303.363 44.277
202307 41.065 305.691 44.736
202310 41.303 307.671 44.706
202401 33.561 308.417 36.238
202404 33.828 313.548 35.929
202407 34.325 314.540 36.342
202410 35.511 315.664 37.463
202501 18.493 317.671 19.387
202504 18.581 320.795 19.289
202507 17.617 323.048 18.161
202510 17.264 0.000
202601 18.916 325.252 19.368
202604 18.134 333.020 18.134

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 3.51 mean?
Dollar Tree (DLTR) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 3.51 as of Jul. 22, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Dollar Tree and its competitors. This is 39% below median its historical median of 5.71. Over the past decade, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 1.84 to 13.30. According to the industry distribution chart, Dollar Tree ranks #166 out of 233 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 71.2%.
Is Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
Dollar Tree's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 3.51 is 39% below median its 10-year median of 5.71. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.84 to a high of 13.30. The Retail - Defensive industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.63. Dollar Tree's value of 3.51 is 115.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Dollar Tree ranks #166 out of 233 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Dollar Tree has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to DG and BJ?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Dollar Tree ranks #166 out of 233 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This places Dollar Tree in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.63. Dollar Tree's value of 3.51 is 115.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Dollar Tree's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 1.84 to 13.30 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 5.71 vs. the industry median of 1.63, Dollar Tree has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Retail - Defensive companies is 1.63, based on 233 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Dollar Tree's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 3.51 is 115.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Dollar Tree and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.63 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Dollar Tree's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 3.51, which is 39% below median its own 10-year median of 5.71. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Dollar Tree stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dollar Tree (DLTR) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $146.93, compared to a current price of $122.15 — trading 16.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 3.51, which is 39% below median its 10-year median of 5.71 and 115.3% above the Retail - Defensive industry median of 1.63. Dollar Tree's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Dollar Tree (DLTR), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 3.51 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Dollar Tree (DLTR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dollar Tree stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $122.15 is trading 16.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $146.93. GuruFocus considers Dollar Tree to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for DLTR:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 3.51 (39% below median its 10-year median of 5.71)
  • GF Value™: $146.93 vs. price of $122.15 (16.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 115.3% above the Retail - Defensive median (#166 of 233)

No single metric tells the full story. See the DLTR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Dollar Tree Business Description

Address 500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, USA, 23320
Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree operates almost 9,000 small-box discount stores across the United States and Canada, offering roughly 85% of its merchandise under $2. The chain targets value-conscious suburban and urban shoppers with a mix of consumables (49% of sales), variety (45%), and seasonal goods (6%). In fiscal 2025, Dollar Tree generated over $19 billion in sales, through its multi-price strategy, higher-margin discretionary assortments, and private-label products that account for nearly one-third of sales.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for DLTR

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$122.15
Price
$146.93
GF Value