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DLTR (Dollar Tree) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $5.24 (As of Jan. 2025)


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What is Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Dollar Tree's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jan. 2025 was $5.471. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $5.24 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2025.

During the past 12 months, Dollar Tree's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Dollar Tree was 55.40% per year. The lowest was 10.40% per year. And the median was 18.15% per year.

As of today (2025-05-14), Dollar Tree's current stock price is $85.71. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2025 was $5.24. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 16.36.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Dollar Tree was 59.36. The lowest was 12.32. And the median was 35.05.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Dollar Tree Annual Data
Trend Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.55 3.78 4.25 4.78 5.24

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data
Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.78 4.88 4.75 4.98 5.24

Competitive Comparison of Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Dollar Tree's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jan. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2025)
=5.471/134.0288*134.0288
=5.471

Current CPI (Jan. 2025) = 134.0288.

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201504 0.403 99.824 0.541
201507 -1.284 100.691 -1.709
201510 -0.739 100.346 -0.987
201601 2.917 99.957 3.911
201604 0.571 100.947 0.758
201607 0.800 101.524 1.056
201610 -0.509 101.988 -0.669
201701 3.812 102.456 4.987
201704 1.350 103.167 1.754
201707 0.350 103.278 0.454
201710 -1.095 104.070 -1.410
201801 3.084 104.578 3.953
201804 0.866 105.708 1.098
201807 0.702 106.324 0.885
201810 0.227 106.695 0.285
201901 2.186 106.200 2.759
201904 1.693 107.818 2.105
201907 -0.277 108.250 -0.343
201910 -0.461 108.577 -0.569
202001 2.534 108.841 3.120
202004 3.046 108.173 3.774
202007 1.020 109.318 1.251
202010 0.253 109.861 0.309
202101 3.356 110.364 4.076
202104 1.413 112.673 1.681
202107 -0.214 115.183 -0.249
202110 -0.058 116.696 -0.067
202201 0.617 118.619 0.697
202204 1.253 121.978 1.377
202207 -1.311 125.002 -1.406
202210 -0.803 125.734 -0.856
202301 5.238 126.223 5.562
202304 1.801 127.992 1.886
202307 -1.163 128.974 -1.209
202310 -0.162 129.810 -0.167
202401 6.338 130.124 6.528
202404 1.021 132.289 1.034
202407 -0.910 132.708 -0.919
202410 1.660 133.182 1.671
202501 5.471 134.029 5.471

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Dollar Tree  (NAS:DLTR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=85.71/5.24
=16.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Dollar Tree was 59.36. The lowest was 12.32. And the median was 35.05.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dollar Tree Business Description

Address
500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, USA, 23320
Dollar Tree operates discount stores across the United States and Canada, with over 8,800 shops under its namesake banner. About 50% of Dollar Tree's sales in fiscal 2024 were consumables (including food, health and beauty, and cleaning products), around 45% variety items (including toys and homewares), and 5% seasonal items. Dollar Tree sells most of its merchandise at the $1.25 price point and positions its stores in well-populated suburban markets. Family Dollar primarily sells consumable merchandise (80% of the banner's sales) at prices below $10. About two thirds of Family Dollar's stores are in urban and suburban markets, with the remaining third in rural areas.
Executives
Creedon Michael C Jr officer: Chief Operating Officer 833 KEITH ROAD, WAKE FOREST NC 27587
Jonathan Leiken officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O DIEBOLD, INCORPORATED, 5995 MAYFAIR RD., NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Daniel J Heinrich director CLOROX CO, 1221 BROADWAY, OAKLAND CA 94612
Robert Aflatooni officer: Chief Information Officer DOLLAR TREE, INC., 500 VOLVO PARKWAY, CHESAPEAKE VA 23328
Jeffrey A. Davis officer: Chief Financial Officer 1200 WILSON DRIVE, WEST CHESTER PA 19380
Mantle Ridge Lp other: Director by deputization 712 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 17F, NEW YORK NY 10019
Diane Randolph director 1500 SOLANA BLVD, SUITE 3400, WESTLAKE TX 76262
Jennifer Hulett officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 1500 SOLANA BLVD., SUITE 3400, WESTLAKE TX 76262
Michael J Kindy officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Richard W Dreiling director, other: Executive Chairman C/O SAFEWAY INC, 5918 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Janet Dhillon officer: Chief Legal Officer 111 W RIO SALADO PARKWAY, TEMPE AZ 85281
John W Flanigan officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Gatta Lawrence J. Jr. officer: Chief Merchandising Officer FD C/O LONGS DRUG STORES CORPORATION, 141 NORTH CIVIC DRIVE, WALNUT CREEK CA 94596
David A. Jacobs officer: Chief Strategy Officer 500 VOLVO PARKWAY, CHESAPEAKE VA 23320
Kelly Edward J Iii director CIT GROUP INC, ONE CIT DRIVE, LIVINGSTON NJ 07039