Dollar TreeDLTR +4.79%76 Altman Z-Score is 3.63 as of Jun. 27, 2026, which is 23% above its 10-year median of 2.96. GuruFocus rates DLTR with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of $145.99 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 307 Retail - Defensive companies, Dollar Tree ranks better than 50.49% on this metric.
The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Good Sign:
Altman Z-score of 3.64 is strong.
Dollar Tree has a Altman Z-Score of 3.63, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Dollar Tree's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
DLTR'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.56 Med: 2.96 Max: 4.08
Current: 3.64
During the past 13 years, Dollar Tree's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.08. The lowest was 1.56. And the median was 2.96.
Dollar Tree (NAS:DLTR) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Dollar Tree Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Dollar Tree Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Dollar Tree's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar Tree's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Dollar Tree Altman Z-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry
For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar Tree's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Dollar Tree's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Dollar Tree's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.0372
+
1.4
*
0.2573
+
3.3
*
0.1264
+
0.6
*
2.3074
+
1.0
*
1.4285
=
3.63
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Dollar Tree (DLTR) has a Altman Z-Score of 3.63 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Dollar Tree and its competitors. This is 23% above median its historical median of 2.96. Over the past decade, Dollar Tree's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.56 to 4.08. According to the industry distribution chart, Dollar Tree ranks #152 out of 307 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 49.5%.
Is Dollar Tree's Altman Z-Score too high?
Dollar Tree's current Altman Z-Score of 3.63 is 23% above median its 10-year median of 2.96. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.56 to a high of 4.08. The Retail - Defensive industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.57. Dollar Tree's value of 3.63 is 1.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Dollar Tree ranks #152 out of 307 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Dollar Tree has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Dollar Tree's Altman Z-Score compare to DG and BJ?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Dollar Tree ranks #152 out of 307 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts Dollar Tree in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 3.57. Dollar Tree's value of 3.63 is 1.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Dollar Tree's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.56 to 4.08 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.96 vs. the industry median of 3.57, Dollar Tree has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Retail - Defensive companies is 3.57, based on 307 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Dollar Tree's current Altman Z-Score of 3.63 is 1.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Dollar Tree and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 3.57 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Dollar Tree's current Altman Z-Score is 3.63, which is 23% above median its own 10-year median of 2.96. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Dollar Tree stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dollar Tree (DLTR) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $145.99, compared to a current price of $123.87 — trading 15.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 3.63, which is 23% above median its 10-year median of 2.96 and 1.7% above the Retail - Defensive industry median of 3.57. Dollar Tree's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Dollar Tree (DLTR), the current Altman Z-Score is 3.63 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Dollar Tree (DLTR) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dollar Tree stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $123.87 is trading 15.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $145.99.
GuruFocus considers Dollar Tree to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for DLTR:
Altman Z-Score: 3.63 (23% above median its 10-year median of 2.96)
GF Value™: $145.99 vs. price of $123.87 (15.2% below fair value)
Industry Position: 1.7% above the Retail - Defensive median (#152 of 307)
No single metric tells the full story. See the DLTR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree operates almost 9,000 small-box discount stores across the United States and Canada, offering roughly 85% of its merchandise under $2. The chain targets value-conscious suburban and urban shoppers with a mix of consumables (49% of sales), variety (45%), and seasonal goods (6%). In fiscal 2025, Dollar Tree generated over $19 billion in sales, through its multi-price strategy, higher-margin discretionary assortments, and private-label products that account for nearly one-third of sales.
76GF Score
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