Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index, it shows how the price swings around its mean. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. In most cases, the higher the volatility, the riskier the security.
As of today (2026-06-24), Dollar Tree's Volatility is 40.22%.
Dollar Tree (NAS:DLTR) Volatility Explanation
Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. It’s often measured as standard deviation or variance of historical returns over a certain period. The volatility here is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year.
Volatility reflects the uncertainty or risk of a security’s value. Generally speaking, a higher volatility suggests a higher risk, because it implies a wider fluctuation around average price. This means the price of the security can change dramatically in either direction within a short period. Conversely, a lower volatility means that the security's price is more steady, which suggests a lower risk.
Another measurement of relative volatility is Beta. Beta is a measure of systematic risk of a security or a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole. Beta is usually compared to 1. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security's price will be more volatile than the market.
Dollar Tree Volatility Related Terms
DLTR vs DG, BJ, PSMT: Volatility Comparison
For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar Tree's Volatility, along with its competitors' market caps and Volatility data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Dollar Tree Volatility vs Retail - Defensive Industry
For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar Tree's Volatility distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Dollar Tree's Volatility falls into.
The annualized volatility is calculated as following:
σA
=
σM
*
√12
=
√ 1/(n-1) ∑(Ri - R')^2
*
√12
Where: σM is the monthly volatility, n is the number of months in the period, Ri is the security's historical monthly returns and R' is the arithmetic mean of monthly returns.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Dollar Tree (DLTR) has a Volatility of 40.22% as of Jun. 24, 2026. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on Dollar Tree and its competitors.
Is Dollar Tree's Volatility too high?
Dollar Tree's current Volatility is 40.22%. Overall, Dollar Tree has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Dollar Tree's Volatility compare to DG and BJ?
Dollar Tree's Volatility of 40.22% can be compared against companies in the Retail - Defensive industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Volatility for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Volatility depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Volatility should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Volatility mean?
A high Volatility can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Volatility is measured as the annualized standard deviation between monthly returns from the security over the past year. View historical data on Dollar Tree and its competitors. Dollar Tree's current Volatility is 40.22%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Dollar Tree stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dollar Tree (DLTR) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $145.91, compared to a current price of $119.35 — trading 18.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Volatility is 40.22%. Dollar Tree's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Volatility calculated?
Volatility is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Dollar Tree (DLTR), the current Volatility is 40.22% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Dollar Tree (DLTR) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dollar Tree stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $119.35 is trading 18.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $145.91.
GuruFocus considers Dollar Tree to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for DLTR:
Volatility: 40.22%
GF Value™: $145.91 vs. price of $119.35 (18.2% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the DLTR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree operates almost 9,000 small-box discount stores across the United States and Canada, offering roughly 85% of its merchandise under $2. The chain targets value-conscious suburban and urban shoppers with a mix of consumables (49% of sales), variety (45%), and seasonal goods (6%). In fiscal 2025, Dollar Tree generated over $19 billion in sales, through its multi-price strategy, higher-margin discretionary assortments, and private-label products that account for nearly one-third of sales.
75GF Score
Get the complete analysis for DLTR
Volatility is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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