Harley-Davidson (WBO:HOG) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 1.50 (As of Jul. 22, 2026) — 44% Below Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
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WBO:HOG Harley-Davidson Inc WBO:HOG
75 GF Score
Price €25.24
GF Value €24.71
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 12 Warning Signs
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What is Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

Harley-Davidson WBO:HOG +5.34% 75 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.50 as of Jul. 22, 2026, which is 44% below its 10-year median of 2.68. GuruFocus rates WBO:HOG with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of €24.71 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 12 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,032 Vehicles & Parts companies, Harley-Davidson ranks worse than 53.78% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-22), Harley-Davidson's current share price is €25.24. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €16.78. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 1.50.

The historical rank and industry rank for Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

WBO:HOG' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.93   Med: 2.68   Max: 5.19
Current: 1.45

During the past years, Harley-Davidson's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 5.19. The lowest was 0.93. And the median was 2.68.

WBO:HOG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked worse than
53.78% of 1032 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.27 vs WBO:HOG: 1.45

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Harley-Davidson's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €23.548. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is €16.78 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Harley-Davidson  (WBO:HOG) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

Harley-Davidson Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.68 2.72 2.25 1.72 1.08

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.41 1.30 1.50 1.08 1.03

WBO:HOG vs LCII, PATK, THO: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


WBO:HOG
75GF Score
Harley-Davidson Inc WBO:HOG
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=25.24/16.78
=1.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Harley-Davidson's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=23.548/330.2130*330.2130
=23.548

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201606 10.060 241.018 13.783
201609 10.042 241.428 13.735
201612 10.346 241.432 14.151
201703 10.612 243.801 14.373
201706 10.675 244.955 14.390
201709 9.257 246.819 12.385
201712 9.271 246.524 12.418
201803 9.643 249.554 12.760
201806 11.109 251.989 14.558
201809 11.331 252.439 14.822
201812 9.767 251.233 12.837
201903 9.921 254.202 12.888
201906 10.544 256.143 13.593
201909 10.391 256.759 13.364
201912 10.649 256.974 13.684
202003 10.005 258.115 12.800
202006 9.420 257.797 12.066
202009 9.812 260.280 12.448
202012 9.260 260.474 11.739
202103 10.821 264.877 13.490
202106 11.793 271.696 14.333
202109 12.900 274.310 15.529
202112 14.714 278.802 17.427
202203 14.742 287.504 16.932
202206 16.128 296.311 17.973
202209 18.556 296.808 20.644
202212 18.791 296.797 20.907
202303 19.707 301.836 21.560
202306 20.073 305.109 21.725
202309 22.115 307.789 23.726
202312 21.882 306.746 23.556
202403 22.405 312.332 23.688
202406 24.264 314.175 25.503
202409 24.281 315.301 25.429
202412 24.329 315.605 25.455
202503 23.575 319.799 24.343
202506 23.032 322.561 23.578
202509 24.375 324.800 24.781
202512 24.021 324.054 24.478
202603 23.548 330.213 23.548

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.50 mean?
Harley-Davidson (WBO:HOG) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.50 as of Jul. 22, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors. This is 44% below median its historical median of 2.68. Over the past decade, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.93 to 5.19. According to the industry distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #555 out of 1032 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 53.8%.
Is Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.50 is 44% below median its 10-year median of 2.68. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.93 to a high of 5.19. The Vehicles & Parts industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.27. Harley-Davidson's value of 1.50 is 18.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #555 out of 1032 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Harley-Davidson has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to LCII and PATK?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #555 out of 1032 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This places Harley-Davidson in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.27. Harley-Davidson's value of 1.50 is 18.1% above this benchmark. Historically, Harley-Davidson's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.93 to 5.19 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.68 vs. the industry median of 1.27, Harley-Davidson has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for a Vehicles & Parts company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Vehicles & Parts companies is 1.27, based on 1,032 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.50 is 18.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors. For the Vehicles & Parts industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.27 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.50, which is 44% below median its own 10-year median of 2.68. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Harley-Davidson stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harley-Davidson (WBO:HOG) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €24.71, compared to a current price of €25.24 — trading 2.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.50, which is 44% below median its 10-year median of 2.68 and 18.1% above the Vehicles & Parts industry median of 1.27. Harley-Davidson's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 12 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Harley-Davidson (WBO:HOG), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.50 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Harley-Davidson (WBO:HOG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harley-Davidson stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €25.24 is trading 2.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of €24.71. GuruFocus considers Harley-Davidson to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for WBO:HOG:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 1.50 (44% below median its 10-year median of 2.68)
  • GF Value™: €24.71 vs. price of €25.24 (2.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 12 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 18.1% above the Vehicles & Parts median (#555 of 1032)

No single metric tells the full story. See the WBO:HOG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Harley-Davidson Business Description

Address 3700 West Juneau Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53208
Harley-Davidson is a leading global manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles across the custom, cruising, and touring categories, as well as related merchandise, parts, and accessories. In recent years, the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model, into electric with the LiveWire brand, and is returning to smaller-displacement bikes with the Sprint. Its captive finance arm, Harley-Davidson Financial Services, provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley captured around 34% of the heavyweight domestic market in 2025.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WBO:HOG

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€25.24
Price
€24.71
GF Value