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Microsoft (LIM:MSFT) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 64.29 (As of Jun. 05, 2025)


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What is Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2025-06-05), Microsoft's current share price is $463.50. Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 was $7.21. Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 64.29.

The historical rank and industry rank for Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LIM:MSFT' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 16.39   Med: 43.78   Max: 71.78
Current: 63.86

During the past years, Microsoft's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 71.78. The lowest was 16.39. And the median was 43.78.

LIM:MSFT's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
72.55% of 703 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 30.14 vs LIM:MSFT: 63.86

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Microsoft's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was $2.721. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $7.21 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2025.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Microsoft Annual Data
Trend Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 51.04 58.80 46.91 56.17 65.58

Microsoft Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 63.76 65.58 61.60 59.93 51.68

Competitive Comparison of Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=463.50/7.21
=64.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 is calculated as:

For example, Microsoft's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2025)
=2.721/134.9266*134.9266
=2.721

Current CPI (Mar. 2025) = 134.9266.

Microsoft Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201506 0.623 100.684 0.835
201509 0.930 100.392 1.250
201512 0.446 99.792 0.603
201603 1.009 100.470 1.355
201606 0.733 101.688 0.973
201609 1.192 101.861 1.579
201612 0.550 101.863 0.729
201703 1.147 102.862 1.505
201706 1.117 103.349 1.458
201709 1.322 104.136 1.713
201712 0.686 104.011 0.890
201803 1.183 105.290 1.516
201806 0.956 106.317 1.213
201809 1.295 106.507 1.641
201812 0.669 105.998 0.852
201903 1.415 107.251 1.780
201906 1.559 108.070 1.946
201909 1.353 108.329 1.685
201912 0.928 108.420 1.155
202003 1.790 108.902 2.218
202006 1.820 108.767 2.258
202009 1.889 109.815 2.321
202012 1.095 109.897 1.344
202103 2.250 111.754 2.717
202106 2.145 114.631 2.525
202109 2.475 115.734 2.885
202112 1.140 117.630 1.308
202203 2.661 121.301 2.960
202206 2.366 125.017 2.554
202209 2.260 125.227 2.435
202212 0.656 125.222 0.707
202303 2.389 127.348 2.531
202306 2.656 128.729 2.784
202309 2.769 129.860 2.877
202312 1.221 129.419 1.273
202403 2.806 131.776 2.873
202406 3.120 132.554 3.176
202409 2.578 133.029 2.615
202412 0.869 133.157 0.881
202503 2.721 134.927 2.721

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Microsoft  (LIM:MSFT) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Microsoft Business Description

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Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

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