JAPAF (Japan Tobacco) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 3.62 (As of Jul. 04, 2026) — 77% Above Median


JAPAF Japan Tobacco Inc JAPAF
75 GF Score
Price $37.50
GF Value $31.35
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Japan Tobacco JAPAF 75 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.62 as of Jul. 04, 2026, which is 77% above its 10-year median of 2.05. GuruFocus rates JAPAF with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of $31.35 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 34 Tobacco Products companies, Japan Tobacco ranks worse than 64.71% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-04), Japan Tobacco's current share price is $37.50. Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $10.37. Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 3.62.

The historical rank and industry rank for Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

JAPAF' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.45   Med: 2.05   Max: 4.04
Current: 3.88

During the past years, Japan Tobacco's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 4.04. The lowest was 1.45. And the median was 2.05.

JAPAF's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
64.71% of 34 companies
in the Tobacco Products industry
Industry Median: 1.93 vs JAPAF: 3.88

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Japan Tobacco's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $3.279. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is $10.37 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Japan Tobacco  (OTCPK:JAPAF) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Japan Tobacco Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.82 1.96 2.58 2.78 3.64

Japan Tobacco Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.77 2.82 3.19 3.64 3.86

JAPAF vs PM, MO, TPB: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Tobacco subindustry, Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


JAPAF
75GF Score
Japan Tobacco Inc JAPAF
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=37.50/10.37
=3.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Japan Tobacco's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=3.279/112.7000*112.7000
=3.279

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 112.7000.

Japan Tobacco Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201606 2.875 98.100 3.303
201609 2.970 98.000 3.416
201612 2.524 98.400 2.891
201703 2.545 98.100 2.924
201706 2.713 98.500 3.104
201709 2.758 98.800 3.146
201712 2.701 99.400 3.062
201803 2.710 99.200 3.079
201806 2.840 99.200 3.226
201809 2.989 99.900 3.372
201812 2.686 99.700 3.036
201903 2.545 99.700 2.877
201906 2.884 99.800 3.257
201909 3.014 100.100 3.393
201912 2.799 100.500 3.139
202003 2.719 100.300 3.055
202006 2.674 99.900 3.017
202009 2.998 99.900 3.382
202012 2.716 99.300 3.083
202103 2.837 99.900 3.200
202106 3.055 99.500 3.460
202109 3.178 100.100 3.578
202112 2.765 100.100 3.113
202203 2.762 101.100 3.079
202206 2.882 101.800 3.191
202209 2.916 103.100 3.188
202212 2.711 104.100 2.935
202303 2.803 104.400 3.026
202306 2.899 105.200 3.106
202309 2.911 106.200 3.089
202312 2.676 106.800 2.824
202403 2.783 107.200 2.926
202406 2.959 108.200 3.082
202409 3.244 108.900 3.357
202412 2.429 110.700 2.473
202503 3.124 111.100 3.169
202506 3.538 111.700 3.570
202509 3.426 112.000 3.447
202512 3.011 113.000 3.003
202603 3.279 112.700 3.279

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 3.62 mean?
Japan Tobacco (JAPAF) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 3.62 as of Jul. 04, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Japan Tobacco and its competitors. This is 77% above median its historical median of 2.05. Over the past decade, Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 1.45 to 4.04. According to the industry distribution chart, Japan Tobacco ranks #22 out of 34 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, placing it in the top 64.7%.
Is Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Japan Tobacco's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 3.62 is 77% above median its 10-year median of 2.05. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.45 to a high of 4.04. The Tobacco Products industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.93. Japan Tobacco's value of 3.62 is 87.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Japan Tobacco ranks #22 out of 34 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Japan Tobacco has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to PM and MO?
According to the Tobacco Products industry distribution chart, Japan Tobacco ranks #22 out of 34 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Japan Tobacco in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.93. Japan Tobacco's value of 3.62 is 87.6% above this benchmark. Historically, Japan Tobacco's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 1.45 to 4.04 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.05 vs. the industry median of 1.93, Japan Tobacco has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Tobacco Products company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Tobacco Products companies is 1.93, based on 34 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Japan Tobacco's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 3.62 is 87.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Japan Tobacco and its competitors. For the Tobacco Products industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.93 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Japan Tobacco's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.62, which is 77% above median its own 10-year median of 2.05. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Japan Tobacco stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Japan Tobacco (JAPAF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $31.35, compared to a current price of $37.50 — trading 19.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.62, which is 77% above median its 10-year median of 2.05 and 87.6% above the Tobacco Products industry median of 1.93. Japan Tobacco's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Japan Tobacco (JAPAF), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.62 as of Jul. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Japan Tobacco (JAPAF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Japan Tobacco stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $37.50 is trading 19.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $31.35. GuruFocus considers Japan Tobacco to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for JAPAF:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 3.62 (77% above median its 10-year median of 2.05)
  • GF Value™: $31.35 vs. price of $37.50 (19.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 87.6% above the Tobacco Products median (#22 of 34)

No single metric tells the full story. See the JAPAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Japan Tobacco Business Description

Address 4-1-1 Toranomon, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-6927
Japan Tobacco primarily sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, organized in three clusters consisting of Asia (which includes its home market and countries in Asia Pacific), Western Europe, and EMA (which includes Eastern Europe, the Middle East North Africa, Turkey, Americas, and duty-free). Its leading cigarette brands include Winston (non-US), Camel (non-US), Mevius, and LD. Its reduced-risk brands include Logic in vaping, Ploom in heated tobacco, and Nordic Spirit in nicotine pouches, though these generates less than 5% of tobacco sales.
75GF Score

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Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$37.50
Price
$31.35
GF Value