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Japan TobaccoJAPAF +9.30%75 3-1 Month Momentum % is -3.04% as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus rates JAPAF with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of $30.94 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 52 Tobacco Products companies, Japan Tobacco ranks better than 57.69% on this metric.
3-1 Month Momentum % is the total return of the stock from 3-month ago to 1-month ago. As of today (2026-07-18), Japan Tobacco's 3-1 Month Momentum % is -3.04%.
The industry rank for Japan Tobacco's 3-1 Month Momentum % or its related term are showing as below:
JAPAF's 3-1 Month Momentum % is ranked better than 57.69% of 52
companies
in the Tobacco Products industry
Industry Median: 1.3
vs JAPAF: -3.04
Japan Tobacco (OTCPK:JAPAF) 3-1 Month Momentum % Explanation
Momentum investing is a trading strategy in which investors buy securities that are rising and sell before the prices start to go back down. The 3-1 Month Momentum % measures the total return to a stock over the past three months, but ignores the previous month.
The reason why the most recent month’s return dropped related to the short-term reversal effect associated with momentum. There is an academic finding that short-term momentum actually has a reversal effect, whereby the previous winners (measured over the past months) do poorly the next month, while the previous losers do well the next month. In order to eliminate the short-term reversal effect, the previous month return was not included in this calculation.
Japan Tobacco 3-1 Month Momentum % Related Terms
JAPAF vs PM, MO, TPB: 3-1 Month Momentum % Comparison
For the Tobacco subindustry, Japan Tobacco's 3-1 Month Momentum %, along with its competitors' market caps and 3-1 Month Momentum % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Japan Tobacco 3-1 Month Momentum % vs Tobacco Products Industry
For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Japan Tobacco's 3-1 Month Momentum % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Japan Tobacco's 3-1 Month Momentum % falls into.
Japan Tobacco (OTCPK:JAPAF) 3-1 Month Momentum % Calculation
3-1 Month Momentum % is calculated as following:
3-1 Month Momentum %
=
( Price 1-month ago
/
Price 3-month ago
- 1 )
*
100 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Japan Tobacco (JAPAF) has a 3-1 Month Momentum % of -3.04% as of Jul. 18, 2026. 3-1 Month Momentum measures the total return of the stock from 3-month ago to 1-month ago. View historical data on Japan Tobacco and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Japan Tobacco ranks #22 out of 52 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, placing it in the top 42.3%.
Is Japan Tobacco's 3-1 Month Momentum % too high?
Japan Tobacco's current 3-1 Month Momentum % is -3.04%. Based on the distribution chart, Japan Tobacco ranks #22 out of 52 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Japan Tobacco has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Japan Tobacco's 3-1 Month Momentum % compare to PM and MO?
According to the Tobacco Products industry distribution chart, Japan Tobacco ranks #22 out of 52 companies for 3-1 Month Momentum %. This puts Japan Tobacco in the upper half of its industry. The industry median 3-1 Month Momentum % is 1.30. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good 3-1 Month Momentum % for a Tobacco Products company?
The median 3-1 Month Momentum % among Tobacco Products companies is 1.30, based on 52 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a 3-1 Month Momentum % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, 3-1 Month Momentum % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high 3-1 Month Momentum % mean?
A high 3-1 Month Momentum % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. 3-1 Month Momentum measures the total return of the stock from 3-month ago to 1-month ago. View historical data on Japan Tobacco and its competitors. For the Tobacco Products industry, the median 3-1 Month Momentum % is 1.30 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Japan Tobacco's current 3-1 Month Momentum % is -3.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Japan Tobacco stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Japan Tobacco (JAPAF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $30.94, compared to a current price of $38.65 — trading 24.9% above its estimated fair value. The current 3-1 Month Momentum % is -3.04%. Japan Tobacco's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is 3-1 Month Momentum % calculated?
3-1 Month Momentum % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Japan Tobacco (JAPAF), the current 3-1 Month Momentum % is -3.04% as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Japan Tobacco (JAPAF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Japan Tobacco stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $38.65 is trading 24.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $30.94.
GuruFocus considers Japan Tobacco to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for JAPAF:
3-1 Month Momentum %: -3.04%
GF Value™: $30.94 vs. price of $38.65 (24.9% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the JAPAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Japan Tobacco primarily sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, organized in three clusters consisting of Asia (which includes its home market and countries in Asia Pacific), Western Europe, and EMA (which includes Eastern Europe, the Middle East North Africa, Turkey, Americas, and duty-free). Its leading cigarette brands include Winston (non-US), Camel (non-US), Mevius, and LD. Its reduced-risk brands include Logic in vaping, Ploom in heated tobacco, and Nordic Spirit in nicotine pouches, though these generates less than 5% of tobacco sales.
75GF Score
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