Japan TobaccoJAPAF 76 Graham Number is $10.90 as of Mar. 2026, which is 250% above its 10-year median of 3.11. GuruFocus rates JAPAF with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of $32.94 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 30 Tobacco Products companies, Japan Tobacco ranks worse than 83.33% on this metric.
Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.
As of today (2026-07-08), the stock price of Japan Tobacco is $36.20. Japan Tobacco's graham number for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $10.90. Therefore, Japan Tobacco's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 3.32.
The historical rank and industry rank for Japan Tobacco's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:
JAPAF'
s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.85 Med: 3.11 Max: 6.07
Current: 3.47
During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of Japan Tobacco was 6.07. The lowest was 0.85. And the median was 3.11.
JAPAF's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked worse than 83.33% of 30
companies
in the Tobacco Products industry
Industry Median: 1.675
vs JAPAF: 3.47
Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.
Japan Tobacco (OTCPK:JAPAF) Graham Number Explanation
Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:
Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.
Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)
Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.
In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.
Japan Tobacco's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as
Price to Graham number
=
Share Price (Today)
/
Graham number (Q: Mar. 2026 )
=
36.20
/
10.90
=
3.32
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Be Aware
Please keep these in mind:
1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.
Japan Tobacco Graham Number Related Terms
Japan Tobacco Graham Number Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Japan Tobacco's Graham Number can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Tobacco subindustry, Japan Tobacco's Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Japan Tobacco Price-to-Graham-Number vs Tobacco Products Industry
For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Japan Tobacco's Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Japan Tobacco's Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Japan Tobacco (JAPAF) has a Graham Number of $10.90 as of Mar. 2026. The Graham Number values a company based on its per-share earnings and book value. View historical data on Japan Tobacco and its competitors. This is 250% above median its historical median of 3.11. Over the past decade, Japan Tobacco's Graham Number has ranged from 0.85 to 6.07. According to the industry distribution chart, Japan Tobacco ranks #25 out of 30 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, placing it in the top 83.3%.
Is Japan Tobacco's Graham Number too high?
Japan Tobacco's current Graham Number of $10.90 is 250% above median its 10-year median of 3.11. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.85 to a high of 6.07. The Tobacco Products industry median Graham Number is 1.68. Japan Tobacco's value of $10.90 is 550.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Japan Tobacco ranks #25 out of 30 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Japan Tobacco has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Japan Tobacco's Graham Number compare to PM and MO?
According to the Tobacco Products industry distribution chart, Japan Tobacco ranks #25 out of 30 companies for Graham Number. This places Japan Tobacco in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Graham Number is 1.68. Japan Tobacco's value of $10.90 is 550.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Japan Tobacco's own Graham Number has ranged from 0.85 to 6.07 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.11 vs. the industry median of 1.68, Japan Tobacco has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Graham Number for a Tobacco Products company?
The median Graham Number among Tobacco Products companies is 1.68, based on 30 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Graham Number significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Graham Number should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Japan Tobacco's current Graham Number of $10.90 is 550.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Graham Number mean?
A high Graham Number can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Graham Number values a company based on its per-share earnings and book value. View historical data on Japan Tobacco and its competitors. For the Tobacco Products industry, the median Graham Number is 1.68 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Japan Tobacco's current Graham Number is $10.90, which is 250% above median its own 10-year median of 3.11. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Japan Tobacco stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Japan Tobacco (JAPAF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $32.94, compared to a current price of $36.20 — trading 9.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Graham Number is $10.90, which is 250% above median its 10-year median of 3.11 and 550.7% above the Tobacco Products industry median of 1.68. Japan Tobacco's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Graham Number calculated?
Graham Number is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Japan Tobacco (JAPAF), the current Graham Number is $10.90 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Japan Tobacco (JAPAF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Japan Tobacco stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $36.20 is trading 9.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $32.94.
GuruFocus considers Japan Tobacco to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for JAPAF:
Graham Number: $10.90 (250% above median its 10-year median of 3.11)
GF Value™: $32.94 vs. price of $36.20 (9.9% above fair value)
Industry Position: 550.7% above the Tobacco Products median (#25 of 30)
No single metric tells the full story. See the JAPAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Japan Tobacco primarily sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, organized in three clusters consisting of Asia (which includes its home market and countries in Asia Pacific), Western Europe, and EMA (which includes Eastern Europe, the Middle East North Africa, Turkey, Americas, and duty-free). Its leading cigarette brands include Winston (non-US), Camel (non-US), Mevius, and LD. Its reduced-risk brands include Logic in vaping, Ploom in heated tobacco, and Nordic Spirit in nicotine pouches, though these generates less than 5% of tobacco sales.
76GF Score
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