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Progressive (Progressive) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $10.35 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Progressive's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $4.009. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $10.35 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Progressive's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 19.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 16.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Progressive was 27.30% per year. The lowest was -0.10% per year. And the median was 15.00% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), Progressive's current stock price is $208.03. Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $10.35. Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 20.10.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Progressive was 20.74. The lowest was 8.83. And the median was 14.52.


Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Progressive Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.00 5.92 7.39 8.66 10.35

Progressive Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.07 9.47 10.01 10.35 -

Competitive Comparison of Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Progressive's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=4.009/129.4194*129.4194
=4.009

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Progressive Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 1.078 99.695 1.399
201406 0.591 100.560 0.761
201409 0.989 100.428 1.275
201412 0.057 99.070 0.074
201503 1.267 99.621 1.646
201506 1.064 100.684 1.368
201509 1.184 100.392 1.526
201512 0.150 99.792 0.195
201603 1.306 100.470 1.682
201606 1.192 101.688 1.517
201609 1.114 101.861 1.415
201612 0.693 101.863 0.880
201703 1.833 102.862 2.306
201706 1.507 103.349 1.887
201709 1.988 104.136 2.471
201712 0.833 104.011 1.036
201803 2.922 105.290 3.592
201806 2.851 106.317 3.471
201809 2.822 106.507 3.429
201812 1.674 105.998 2.044
201903 3.056 107.251 3.688
201906 2.349 108.070 2.813
201909 2.863 108.329 3.420
201912 1.782 108.420 2.127
202003 2.664 108.902 3.166
202006 3.754 108.767 4.467
202009 2.406 109.815 2.836
202012 2.554 109.897 3.008
202103 4.369 111.754 5.060
202106 3.878 114.631 4.378
202109 3.886 115.734 4.346
202112 0.677 117.630 0.745
202203 4.143 121.301 4.420
202206 2.261 125.017 2.341
202209 3.269 125.227 3.378
202212 1.503 125.222 1.553
202303 4.099 127.348 4.166
202306 3.827 128.729 3.848
202309 5.759 129.860 5.739
202312 4.009 129.419 4.009

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Progressive  (NYSE:PGR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=208.03/10.35
=20.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Progressive was 20.74. The lowest was 8.83. And the median was 14.52.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Progressive (Progressive) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6300 Wilson Mills Road, Mayfield Village, OH, USA, 44143
Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines; it has about 18 million personal auto policies in force and is one of the largest auto insurers in the United States. Progressive markets its policies through independent insurance agencies in the U.S. and Canada and directly via the internet and telephone. Its premiums are split roughly equally between the agent and the direct channel. The company also offers commercial auto policies and entered homeowners insurance through an acquisition in 2015.
Executives
Susan Patricia Griffith officer: Chief Human Resource, Officer 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Andrew J Quigg officer: Chief Strategy Officer C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION, 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Lori A Niederst officer: CRM President C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION, 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Daniel P Mascaro officer: Vice Pres, Secretary and CLO C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION, 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Stuart B Burgdoerfer director 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Jeffrey D Kelly director
John P Sauerland officer: Direct Group, President PROGRESSIVE, 7580 NORTHCLIFF AVE. -- SUITE 1000, BROOKLYN OH 44144
Barbara R Snyder director 127 PUBLIC SQUARE, CLEVELAND OH 44114
Steven Broz officer: Chief Information Officer C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION, 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Danelle Marie Barrett director 50 ENTERPRISE CENTER, KVH INDUSTRIES, INC., MIDDLETOWN RI 02842
Philip Bleser director 8760 CLAY ROAD SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77494
Devin C Johnson director 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
John Jo Murphy officer: Claims President C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION, 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Patrick K Callahan officer: Personal Lines President C/O THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION, 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143
Karen Bailo officer: Commercial Lines President 6300 WILSON MILLS ROAD, MAYFIELD VILLAGE OH 44143

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