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China Tourism Group Duty Free (HKSE:01880) E10 : HK$2.35 (As of Sep. 2024)


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What is China Tourism Group Duty Free E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

China Tourism Group Duty Free's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was HK$0.339. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is HK$2.35 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2024.

During the past 12 months, China Tourism Group Duty Free's average E10 Growth Rate was 8.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 18.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 23.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of China Tourism Group Duty Free was 30.40% per year. The lowest was 18.90% per year. And the median was 24.85% per year.

As of today (2025-03-29), China Tourism Group Duty Free's current stock price is HK$49.90. China Tourism Group Duty Free's E10 for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2024 was HK$2.35. China Tourism Group Duty Free's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 21.23.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of China Tourism Group Duty Free was 287.30. The lowest was 22.82. And the median was 84.48.


China Tourism Group Duty Free E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Tourism Group Duty Free's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Tourism Group Duty Free E10 Chart

China Tourism Group Duty Free Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 2.17 2.08

China Tourism Group Duty Free Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.18 2.08 2.15 1.82 2.35

Competitive Comparison of China Tourism Group Duty Free's E10

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, China Tourism Group Duty Free's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Tourism Group Duty Free's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, China Tourism Group Duty Free's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Tourism Group Duty Free's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.


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China Tourism Group Duty Free E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, China Tourism Group Duty Free's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Sep. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2024)
=0.339/115.7848*115.7848
=0.339

Current CPI (Sep. 2024) = 115.7848.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201412 0.178 99.000 0.208
201503 0.411 99.900 0.476
201506 0.237 99.500 0.276
201509 0.188 100.500 0.217
201512 0.114 100.600 0.131
201603 0.426 102.200 0.483
201606 0.247 101.400 0.282
201609 0.422 102.400 0.477
201612 0.200 102.600 0.226
201703 0.414 103.200 0.464
201706 0.341 103.100 0.383
201709 0.370 104.100 0.412
201712 0.378 104.500 0.419
201803 0.737 105.300 0.810
201806 0.472 104.900 0.521
201809 0.460 106.600 0.500
201812 0.227 106.500 0.247
201903 1.381 107.700 1.485
201906 0.573 107.700 0.616
201909 0.521 109.800 0.549
201912 0.238 111.200 0.248
202003 -0.012 112.300 -0.012
202006 0.534 110.400 0.560
202009 1.302 111.700 1.350
202012 1.807 111.500 1.876
202103 1.740 112.662 1.788
202106 1.552 111.769 1.608
202109 1.933 112.215 1.994
202112 0.730 113.108 0.747
202203 1.619 114.335 1.640
202206 0.825 114.558 0.834
202209 0.380 115.339 0.381
202212 0.191 115.116 0.192
202303 1.267 115.116 1.274
202306 0.827 114.558 0.836
202309 0.695 115.339 0.698
202312 0.797 114.781 0.804
202403 1.211 115.227 1.217
202406 0.508 114.781 0.512
202409 0.339 115.785 0.339

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


China Tourism Group Duty Free  (HKSE:01880) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

China Tourism Group Duty Free's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=49.90/2.35
=21.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of China Tourism Group Duty Free was 287.30. The lowest was 22.82. And the median was 84.48.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


China Tourism Group Duty Free E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of China Tourism Group Duty Free's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


China Tourism Group Duty Free Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 2A, Dongzhimenwai Street, 8th Floor, Building A, Dongcheng District, Beijing, CHN, 100027
Established in 1984, China Tourism Group Duty Free is China's largest and the world's second-largest travel retailer in 2023 with revenue of CNY 67.5 billion. The company primarily operates duty-free stores at airports, border crossings, offshore, downtown, and on flights, cruises and ships, with about 200 stores spanning over 30 provinces in China, as well as overseas. The company also operates a duty-paid business and its 2023 revenue mix comprised 66% duty-free sales and 34% duty-paid sales and others. CTG Duty Free is 50.3% owned by China Tourism Group, a state-owned enterprise that falls directly under the state-owned Asset Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council.
Executives
Jpmorgan Chase & Co. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Rui Zhong Ren Shou Bao Xian You Xian Ze Ren Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Blackrock, Inc. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Citigroup Inc. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Aggregate Of Abrdn Plc Affiliated Investment Management Entities 2102 Investment manager
Morgan Stanley 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Bank Of America Corporation
The Capital Group Companies, Inc. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Gic Private Limited 2102 Investment manager
Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. 2502 Approved lending agent

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