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KWG Living Group Holdings (HKSE:03913) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : HK$3.33 (As of Dec23)


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What is KWG Living Group Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, KWG Living Group Holdings's earnings power value is HK$3.33. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 90.38

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


KWG Living Group Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for KWG Living Group Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

KWG Living Group Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

KWG Living Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - 2.43 3.14 3.33

KWG Living Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 3.14 - 3.33 -

Competitive Comparison of KWG Living Group Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, KWG Living Group Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


KWG Living Group Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, KWG Living Group Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where KWG Living Group Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


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KWG Living Group Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

KWG Living Group Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 3,148
DDA 93
Operating Margin % 23.33
SGA * 25% 86
Tax Rate % 36.78
Maintenance Capex 8
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,578
Short-Term Debt 166
Long-Term Debt 538
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 2,027

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 23.33%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = HK$3,148 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 23.33%, Average Adjusted SGA = 86,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,148 * 23.33% +86 = HK$820.816382616 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 36.78%, and "Normalized" EBIT = HK$820.816382616 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 820.816382616 * ( 1 - 36.78% ) = HK$518.95294974514 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 93 * 0.5 * 36.78% = HK$17.144493112 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 518.95294974514 + 17.144493112 = HK$536.09744285714 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
KWG Living Group Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = HK$8 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. KWG Living Group Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = HK$1,578 Mil.
KWG Living Group Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 538 + 166 = HK$704.142 Mil.
KWG Living Group Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 2,027 Mil.

KWG Living Group Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 536.09744285714 - 8)/ 9%+1,578-704.142 )/2,027
=3.33

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 3.3277418576965-0.32 )/3.3277418576965
= 90.38%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


KWG Living Group Holdings  (HKSE:03913) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


KWG Living Group Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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KWG Living Group Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
39 Gloucester Road, Harcourt House, Room 1302, 13th Floor, Wanchai, HKG
KWG Living Group Holdings Ltd is a property management service provider in China. The company operates primarily in two business segments: residential property management services and non-residential property management and commercial operational services. The majority of its revenue is generated from non-residential property management and commercial operational services, which includes property management and commercial operational services for commercial properties such as office buildings, shopping malls, and industrial parks. In addition, the company provides property management services to schools, hospitals, government authorities, and other public properties. All of the revenue generated by the company comes from mainland China.
Executives
Excel Wave Investments Limited 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares
Hero Fine Group Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
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Plus Earn Consultants Limited 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares
Right Rich Consultants Limited 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares
Wealth Express Investments Limited 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares
Kong Jianmin 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Kong Jiantao 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares
Kong Jiannan 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares
Morgan Stanley International Holdings Inc. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Morgan Stanley International Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Morgan Stanley & Co. International Plc 2105 Underwriter
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