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YOU (Clear Secure) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $2.54 (As of Sep24)


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What is Clear Secure Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep24, Clear Secure's earnings power value is $2.54. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -924.63

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Clear Secure Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Clear Secure's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Clear Secure Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Clear Secure Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
- - - - -

Clear Secure Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 2.54

Competitive Comparison of Clear Secure's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Clear Secure's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Clear Secure's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Clear Secure's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Clear Secure's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Clear Secure Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Clear Secure's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 420.0
DDA 16.3
Operating Margin % -13.38
SGA * 25% 56.0
Tax Rate % 1.75
Maintenance Capex 16.2
Cash and Cash Equivalents 544.7
Short-Term Debt 6.0
Long-Term Debt 117.1
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 95.2

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -13.38%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $420.0 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -13.38%, Average Adjusted SGA = 56.0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 420.0 * -13.38% +56.0 = $-0.15116483999999 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 1.75%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-0.15116483999999 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -0.15116483999999 * ( 1 - 1.75% ) = $-0.14851265288219 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 16.3 * 0.5 * 1.75% = $0.1433865125 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -0.14851265288219 + 0.1433865125 = $-0.0051261403821929 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Clear Secure's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $16.2 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Clear Secure's current cash and cash equivalent = $544.7 Mil.
Clear Secure's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 117.1 + 6.0 = $123.081 Mil.
Clear Secure's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 95.2 Mil.

Clear Secure's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -0.0051261403821929 - 16.2)/ 9%+544.7-123.081 )/95.2
=2.54

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 2.5414153774221-26.04 )/2.5414153774221
= -924.63%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Clear Secure  (NYSE:YOU) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Clear Secure Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Clear Secure Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
85 10th Avenue,, 9th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10011
Clear Secure Inc is an identity company making experiences safer and easier digitally and physically. It is involved in the creation of a frictionless travel experience while enhancing security. Its secure identity platform uses biometrics to automate the identity verification process through lanes in airports which helps to make the travel experience safe and easy.
Executives
Alclear Investments Ii, Llc director, 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 65 EAST 55TH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kenneth L. Cornick director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CFO 65 EAST 55TH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Dennis W. Liu officer: Chief Accounting Officer 65 EAST 55TH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michael Z Barkin director 390 INTERLOCKEN CRESCENT, SUITE 1000, BROOMFIELD CO 80021
Jeffery H Boyd director C/O ASPEN GROVE CAPITAL, LLC, PO BOX 9389, AVON CO 81620
Patterson Richard N. Jr. officer: Chief Info Sec. Officer 65 EAST 55TH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kasra Moshkani officer: EVP, Operations 85 10TH AVE., 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Durable Capital Partners Lp 10 percent owner 4747 BETHESDA AVENUE, SUITE #1002, BETHESDA MD 20814
Shawn Henry director CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS, INC., 150 MATHILDA PLACE, SUITE 300, SUNNYVALE CA 94086
Jonathan J. Feldman officer: EVP, Powered by CLEAR 85 10TH AVE., 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Gapco Aiv Interholdco (ac), L.p. 10 percent owner C/O GENERAL ATLANTIC SERVICE CO., L.P., 55 EAST 52ND STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055
General Atlantic, L.p. 10 percent owner 55 EAST 52ND STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055
General Atlantic Partners Aiv (ac), L.p. 10 percent owner C/O GENERAL ATLANTIC SERVICE CO., L.P., 55 EAST 52ND STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055
Matthew Levine officer: GC & Chief Privacy Officer 65 EAST 55TH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Alclear Investments, Llc director, 10 percent owner, other: See Remarks 65 EAST 55TH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022