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TKO (TKO Group Holdings) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $20.46 (As of Jun. 03, 2025)


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What is TKO Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2025-06-03), TKO Group Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $20.46.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

TKO Group Holdings's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for TKO Group Holdings is -697.21%.

The historical rank and industry rank for TKO Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

TKO's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Media - Diversified industry.
Industry Median: 0.785
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

TKO Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for TKO Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TKO Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

TKO Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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TKO Group Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of TKO Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Entertainment subindustry, TKO Group Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TKO Group Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, TKO Group Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TKO Group Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.


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TKO Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.45%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> TKO Group Holdings's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $1.773.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

TKO Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=1.773*11.5406
=20.46

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (20.46 - 163.11) / 20.46
= -697.21 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


TKO Group Holdings  (NYSE:TKO) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


TKO Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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TKO Group Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
200 fifth Avenue, 7th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10010
TKO Group Holdings Inc is a sports and sports entertainment company that operates combat sport and sports entertainment companies. It owns and manages valuable sports and entertainment intellectual property. The company distributes content and monetizes its intellectual property through four principal activities: Media Rights and Content, Live Events, Sponsorship, and Consumer Products Licensing. The company has two reportable segments, UFC and WWE. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the UFC segment. The UFC segment revenue consists of media rights fees associated with the distribution of its programming content, ticket sales, and site fees associated with the business's global live events, sponsorship, and consumer products licensing agreements of UFC-branded products.
Executives
Sonya E Medina director P.O. BOX 99900, LOUISVILLE KY 40269
Jonathan Kraft director C/O ENDEAVOR GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 9601 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 3RD FLOOR, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Silver Lake West Holdco, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Patrick Whitesell 10 percent owner 11601 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1600, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Ariel Emanuel director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O SOURCE INTERLINK COMPANIES, INC., 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD, SUITE 400, BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Shane Kapral officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O ENDEAVOR GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 9601 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 3RD FLOOR, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Andrew M Schleimer officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SIX FLAGS, INC., 11501 NORTHEAST EXPRESSWAY, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73131
Seth D Krauss officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE, INC., 222 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10012
Mark S Shapiro director, officer: See Remarks C/O RED ZONE LLC, 21300 REDSKIN PARK DRIVE, ASHBURN VA 20147
Nick Khan director 1241 EAST MAIN STREET, STAMFORD CT 06902
Vincent K Mcmahon director, 10 percent owner C/O WORLD WRESTLING ENTERTAINMENT INC, 1241 EAST MAIN STREET, STAMFORD CT 06902
Steven R Koonin director 625 WESTPORT PARKWAY, GRAPEVINE TX 76051
Carrie Wheeler director 500 VOLVO PARKWAY, CHESAPEAKE VA 23320
Bynoe Peter C B director 203 NORTH LASALLE STREET, SUITE 1900, CHICAGO IL 60601
Egon Durban director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025