AEON Financial Service Co (TSE:8570) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): 円1,667.35 (As of Sep. 21, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:8570 AEON Financial Service Co Ltd TSE:8570
73 GF Score
Price 円1,626.00
GF Value 円1,632.91
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is AEON Financial Service Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

AEON Financial Service Co TSE:8570 -1.12% 73 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 円1,667.35 as of Sep. 21, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:8570 with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,632.91 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 91 Credit Services companies, AEON Financial Service Co ranks worse than 65.93% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-21), AEON Financial Service Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is 円1,667.35.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

AEON Financial Service Co's Predictability Rank is 4.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for AEON Financial Service Co is 2.48%.

The historical rank and industry rank for AEON Financial Service Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8570' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.52   Med: 0.76   Max: 0.99
Current: 0.75

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of AEON Financial Service Co was 0.99. The lowest was 0.52. And the median was 0.76.

TSE:8570's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked worse than
65.93% of 91 companies
in the Credit Services industry
Industry Median: 0.56 vs TSE:8570: 0.75

AEON Financial Service Co  (TSE:8570) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


AEON Financial Service Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms


AEON Financial Service Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for AEON Financial Service Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

AEON Financial Service Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

AEON Financial Service Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24 Feb25 Feb26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
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AEON Financial Service Co Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
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TSE:8570 vs V, MA, AXP: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, AEON Financial Service Co's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AEON Financial Service Co Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) vs Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, AEON Financial Service Co's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AEON Financial Service Co's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.


TSE:8570
73GF Score
AEON Financial Service Co Ltd TSE:8570
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

AEON Financial Service Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.94%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> AEON Financial Service Co's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was -3.70%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = 円123.039.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

AEON Financial Service Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.09) = 0.96330275229358
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=123.039*13.5514
=1,667.35

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(1667.35-1626.00)/1667.35
=2.48 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of 円1,667.35 mean?
AEON Financial Service Co (TSE:8570) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of 円1,667.35 as of Sep. 21, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on AEON Financial Service Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, AEON Financial Service Co ranks #60 out of 91 companies in the Credit Services industry, placing it in the top 65.9%.
Is AEON Financial Service Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) too high?
AEON Financial Service Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 円1,667.35. Based on the distribution chart, AEON Financial Service Co ranks #60 out of 91 companies in the Credit Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, AEON Financial Service Co has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AEON Financial Service Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) compare to V and MA?
According to the Credit Services industry distribution chart, AEON Financial Service Co ranks #60 out of 91 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based). This places AEON Financial Service Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.56. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for a Credit Services company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) among Credit Services companies is 0.56, based on 91 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on AEON Financial Service Co and its competitors. For the Credit Services industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.56 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. AEON Financial Service Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 円1,667.35. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AEON Financial Service Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AEON Financial Service Co (TSE:8570) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,632.91, compared to a current price of 円1,626.00 — trading 0.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 円1,667.35. AEON Financial Service Co's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AEON Financial Service Co (TSE:8570), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 円1,667.35 as of Sep. 21, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AEON Financial Service Co (TSE:8570) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AEON Financial Service Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円1,626.00 is trading 0.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,632.91. GuruFocus considers AEON Financial Service Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8570:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): 円1,667.35
  • GF Value™: 円1,632.91 vs. price of 円1,626.00 (0.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8570 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


AEON Financial Service Co Business Description

Address 1-1 Kanda Nishikicho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN
AEON Financial Service Co Ltd is a comprehensive financial group consisting of a bank holding company and its subsidiaries, which grew out of Aeon Group's retail operations. It currently operates a network of hundreds of sales bases throughout Asia, particularly in Japan, China, Thailand, and Malaysia. The bank provides various financial services, payment services, housing loans, deposits, installment sales, and overseas services to customers through points of sale closely linked to community lifestyles. These include shopping centers and retail malls, convenience stores, and specialty stores, among others. Net fee and commission income is the company's main source of net revenue.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8570

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,626.00
Price
円1,632.91
GF Value