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Expeditors International of WashingtonEXPD -0.67%80 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $87.54 as of Aug. 18, 2026, which is 5049% above its 10-year median of 1.70. GuruFocus rates EXPD with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of $166.40 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 727 Transportation companies, Expeditors International of Washington ranks worse than 83.08% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
The historical rank and industry rank for Expeditors International of Washington's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
EXPD'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.01 Med: 1.7 Max: 2.16
Current: 2.14
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Expeditors International of Washington was 2.16. The lowest was 1.01. And the median was 1.70.
EXPD's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 83.08% of 727
companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.86
vs EXPD: 2.14
Expeditors International of Washington (NYSE:EXPD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Expeditors International of Washington's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
187.005
/
87.539771311078
=
2.14
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Expeditors International of Washington Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Expeditors International of Washington Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Expeditors International of Washington Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
Expeditors International of Washington Annual Data
EXPD vs FDXF, CHRW, JBHT: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Expeditors International of Washington's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Expeditors International of Washington Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Transportation Industry
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Expeditors International of Washington's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Expeditors International of Washington's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Expeditors International of Washington Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $87.54 mean?
Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $87.54 as of Aug. 18, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Expeditors International of Washington and its competitors. This is 5049% above median its historical median of 1.70. Over the past decade, Expeditors International of Washington's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.01 to 2.16. According to the industry distribution chart, Expeditors International of Washington ranks #604 out of 727 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 83.1%.
Is Expeditors International of Washington's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Expeditors International of Washington's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $87.54 is 5049% above median its 10-year median of 1.70. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.01 to a high of 2.16. The Transportation industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86. Expeditors International of Washington's value of $87.54 is 10079.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Expeditors International of Washington ranks #604 out of 727 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Expeditors International of Washington has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Expeditors International of Washington's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to FDXF and CHRW?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Expeditors International of Washington ranks #604 out of 727 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Expeditors International of Washington in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86. Expeditors International of Washington's value of $87.54 is 10079.1% above this benchmark. Historically, Expeditors International of Washington's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.01 to 2.16 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.70 vs. the industry median of 0.86, Expeditors International of Washington has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Transportation company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Transportation companies is 0.86, based on 727 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Expeditors International of Washington's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $87.54 is 10079.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Expeditors International of Washington and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.86 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Expeditors International of Washington's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $87.54, which is 5049% above median its own 10-year median of 1.70. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Expeditors International of Washington stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $166.40, compared to a current price of $187.01 — trading 12.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $87.54, which is 5049% above median its 10-year median of 1.70 and 10079.1% above the Transportation industry median of 0.86. Expeditors International of Washington's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $87.54 as of Aug. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Expeditors International of Washington stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $187.01 is trading 12.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $166.40.
GuruFocus considers Expeditors International of Washington to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for EXPD:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $87.54 (5049% above median its 10-year median of 1.70)
GF Value™: $166.40 vs. price of $187.01 (12.4% above fair value)
Industry Position: 10079.1% above the Transportation median (#604 of 727)
No single metric tells the full story. See the EXPD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Based in the US, Expeditors International of Washington is a non-asset-based third-party logistics provider, mainly focused on international freight forwarding. Its offers freight consolidation and forwarding, customs brokerage, warehousing and distribution, purchase order management, vendor consolidation, and numerous other value-added logistics services. It employs sophisticated IT systems and contracts with airlines and ocean carriers to move customers' freight across the globe. The firm operates more than 200 full-service office locations worldwide, in addition to numerous satellite locations. In 2025, Expeditors derived 36% of consolidated gross revenue from airfreight, 25% from ocean freight, and 39% from customs brokerage and other services.
80GF Score
Get the complete analysis for EXPD
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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