EXPD (Expeditors International of Washington) Beneish M-Score: -2.44 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


EXPD Expeditors International of Washington Inc EXPD
78 GF Score
Price $160.16
GF Value $146.01
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Expeditors International of Washington Beneish M-Score?

Expeditors International of Washington EXPD -0.73% 78 Beneish M-Score is -2.44 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates EXPD with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of $146.01 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Expeditors International of Washington ranks worse than 62.32% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.44 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Expeditors International of Washington's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

EXPD' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.46   Med: -2.34   Max: -1.49
Current: -2.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Expeditors International of Washington was -1.49. The lowest was -3.46. And the median was -2.34.


Expeditors International of Washington Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Expeditors International of Washington's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Expeditors International of Washington Beneish M-Score Chart

Expeditors International of Washington Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.52 -2.68 -2.82 -2.17 -2.55

Expeditors International of Washington Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.25 -2.35 -2.60 -2.55 -2.44

EXPD vs CHRW, FDXFw, ZTO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Expeditors International of Washington's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Expeditors International of Washington Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Expeditors International of Washington's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Expeditors International of Washington's Beneish M-Score falls into.


EXPD
78GF Score
Expeditors International of Washington Inc EXPD
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Expeditors International of Washington Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Expeditors International of Washington for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0681+0.528 * 0.9773+0.404 * 1.3603+0.892 * 1.0113+0.115 * 1.0549
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1795+4.679 * -0.030313-0.327 * 1.0042
=-2.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $2,057 Mil.
Revenue was 2782.962 + 2855.954 + 2894.751 + 2651.885 = $11,186 Mil.
Gross Profit was 389.909 + 347.771 + 382.101 + 347.604 = $1,467 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,652 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,782 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,002 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $56 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $42 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,041 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $451 Mil.
Net Income was 229.61 + 200.707 + 222.256 + 183.574 = $836 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 3.018 + 2.273 + 1.64 + 1.05 = $8 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 309.234 + 283.299 + 201.368 + 179.212 = $973 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,904 Mil.
Revenue was 2666.419 + 2954.705 + 3000.131 + 2439.001 = $11,060 Mil.
Gross Profit was 352.86 + 387.57 + 379.061 + 298.586 = $1,418 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,641 Mil.
Total Assets was $4,757 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,022 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $61 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $35 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,990 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $479 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2056.808 / 11185.552) / (1904.171 / 11060.256)
=0.183881 / 0.172163
=1.0681

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1418.077 / 11060.256) / (1467.385 / 11185.552)
=0.128214 / 0.131186
=0.9773

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3652.066 + 1001.681) / 4781.68) / (1 - (3640.604 + 1022.486) / 4756.65)
=0.026755 / 0.019669
=1.3603

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11185.552 / 11060.256
=1.0113

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(60.533 / (60.533 + 1022.486)) / (56.04 / (56.04 + 1001.681))
=0.055893 / 0.052982
=1.0549

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(41.896 / 11185.552) / (35.126 / 11060.256)
=0.003746 / 0.003176
=1.1795

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((451.178 + 2041.394) / 4781.68) / ((478.903 + 1990.244) / 4756.65)
=0.521275 / 0.519094
=1.0042

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(836.147 - 7.981 - 973.113) / 4781.68
=-0.030313

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Expeditors International of Washington has a M-score of -2.44 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.44 mean?
Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.44 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Expeditors International of Washington and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Expeditors International of Washington ranks #602 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 62.3%.
Is Expeditors International of Washington's Beneish M-Score too high?
Expeditors International of Washington's current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. Based on the distribution chart, Expeditors International of Washington ranks #602 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Expeditors International of Washington has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Expeditors International of Washington's Beneish M-Score compare to CHRW and FDXFw?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Expeditors International of Washington ranks #602 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Expeditors International of Washington in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Expeditors International of Washington and its competitors. Expeditors International of Washington's current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Expeditors International of Washington stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $146.01, compared to a current price of $160.16 — trading 9.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. Expeditors International of Washington's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.44 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Expeditors International of Washington stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $160.16 is trading 9.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $146.01. GuruFocus considers Expeditors International of Washington to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for EXPD:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.44
  • GF Value™: $146.01 vs. price of $160.16 (9.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the EXPD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Expeditors International of Washington Business Description

Other Exchanges 0IJR:UK
Address 3545 Factoria Boulevard SE, Sterling Plaza 2, 3rd Floor, Bellevue, WA, USA, 98006
Based in the US, Expeditors International of Washington is a non-asset-based third-party logistics provider, mainly focused on international freight forwarding. Its offers freight consolidation and forwarding, customs brokerage, warehousing and distribution, purchase order management, vendor consolidation, and numerous other value-added logistics services. It employs sophisticated IT systems and contracts with airlines and ocean carriers to move customers' freight across the globe. The firm operates more than 200 full-service office locations worldwide, in addition to numerous satellite locations. In 2025, Expeditors derived 36% of consolidated gross revenue from airfreight, 25% from ocean freight, and 39% from customs brokerage and other services.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for EXPD

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$160.16
Price
$146.01
GF Value