Mediobanca SpA (MIL:MB) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: €18.41 (As of Aug. 27, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MIL:MB Mediobanca SpA MIL:MB
65 GF Score
Price €27.96
GF Value €16.81
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Mediobanca SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Mediobanca SpA MIL:MB -0.53% 65 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €18.41 as of Aug. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates MIL:MB with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of €16.81 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,301 Banks companies, Mediobanca SpA ranks worse than 92.77% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-27), Mediobanca SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €18.41. The stock price of Mediobanca SpA is €27.96. Therefore, Mediobanca SpA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mediobanca SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:MB' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.3   Med: 0.64   Max: 1.53
Current: 1.52

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Mediobanca SpA was 1.53. The lowest was 0.30. And the median was 0.64.

MIL:MB's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
92.77% of 1301 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.59 vs MIL:MB: 1.52

Mediobanca SpA  (MIL:MB) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Mediobanca SpA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=27.96/18.408266742938
=1.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Mediobanca SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Mediobanca SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Mediobanca SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Mediobanca SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Mediobanca SpA Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.59 27.46 21.45 20.81 18.41

Mediobanca SpA Quarterly Data
Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Mediobanca SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Competitor Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Mediobanca SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mediobanca SpA Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Mediobanca SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mediobanca SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


MIL:MB
65GF Score
Mediobanca SpA MIL:MB
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Mediobanca SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Mediobanca SpA's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €511.79.

Mediobanca SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.534066072614*511.78771428571+11363.313*0.8)/814.506
=18.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of €18.41 mean?
Mediobanca SpA (MIL:MB) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of €18.41 as of Aug. 27, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Mediobanca SpA and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Mediobanca SpA ranks #1207 out of 1301 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 92.8%.
Is Mediobanca SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Mediobanca SpA's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €18.41. Based on the distribution chart, Mediobanca SpA ranks #1207 out of 1301 companies in the Banks industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Mediobanca SpA has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mediobanca SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to competitors?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, Mediobanca SpA ranks #1207 out of 1301 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Mediobanca SpA in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.59. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Banks company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Banks companies is 0.59, based on 1,301 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Mediobanca SpA and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.59 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Mediobanca SpA's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €18.41. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mediobanca SpA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mediobanca SpA (MIL:MB) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €16.81, compared to a current price of €27.96 — trading 66.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €18.41. Mediobanca SpA's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mediobanca SpA (MIL:MB), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €18.41 as of Aug. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Mediobanca SpA (MIL:MB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mediobanca SpA stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €27.96 is trading 66.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of €16.81. GuruFocus considers Mediobanca SpA to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MIL:MB:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: €18.41
  • GF Value™: €16.81 vs. price of €27.96 (66.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MIL:MB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Mediobanca SpA Business Description

Address Piazzetta Enrico Cuccia 1, Milan, ITA, 20121
Mediobanca SpA is a specialized financial group operating in Wealth Management, Corporate & Investment Banking, and Consumer Finance in the Italian market. It operates through four divisions: Wealth Management, which provides savings products and investment and wealth management services; Corporate & Investment Banking, which provides financial advisory services and capital markets transactions; Consumer Finance, which offers personal loans, credit cards, salary-backed loans, and HeyLight BNPL solutions; and Insurance & Principal Investing, which manages equity investments including Assicurazioni Generali. Holding Functions support Group operations. The majority of revenue comes from Consumer Finance.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MIL:MB

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€27.96
Price
€16.81
GF Value