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Safaricom (NAI:SCOM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : KES16.05 (As of Sep. 22, 2024)


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What is Safaricom Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-09-22), Safaricom's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is KES16.05. The stock price of Safaricom is KES15.00. Therefore, Safaricom's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Safaricom's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NAI:SCOM' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.94   Med: 1.89   Max: 2.76
Current: 0.94

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Safaricom was 2.76. The lowest was 0.94. And the median was 1.89.

NAI:SCOM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
50.91% of 275 companies
in the Telecommunication Services industry
Industry Median: 0.92 vs NAI:SCOM: 0.94

Safaricom Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Safaricom's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Safaricom Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Safaricom Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.04 19.09 15.64 16.28 16.05

Safaricom Semi-Annual Data
Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.64 - 16.28 - 16.05

Competitive Comparison of Safaricom's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Safaricom's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Safaricom's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Safaricom's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Safaricom's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Safaricom Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Safaricom's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = KES40,891.09.

Safaricom's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.29937129898*40891.085714286+226349.1*0.8)/40065.400
=16.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Safaricom  (NAI:SCOM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Safaricom's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=15.00/16.051826271649
=0.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Safaricom Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Safaricom Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Safaricom House, Waiyaki Way, P.O. Box 66827, Westlands, Nairobi, KEN, 00800
Safaricom PLC is a Kenya-based telecommunications company. The principal activities of the company are the provision of telecommunication services, providing a comprehensive range of integrated telecommunication services including voice and data both mobile and fixed, SMS, the internet, and m-pesa. The company also offers a wide range of devices such as Mobile handsets, mobile broadband modems, routers, tablets, and notebooks. The majority of its revenue comes from service revenues: Voice, m-pesa, mobile data, messaging, fixed data and other service revenue. The company serves both individual and corporate/enterprise customers.

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