Jollibee Foods (PHS:JFC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ₱269.67 (As of Aug. 19, 2026) — 15488% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

PHS:JFC Jollibee Foods Corp PHS:JFC
73 GF Score
Price ₱154.80
GF Value ₱283.41
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Jollibee Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Jollibee Foods PHS:JFC -0.13% 73 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱269.67 as of Aug. 19, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 1.73. GuruFocus rates PHS:JFC with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of ₱283.41 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 235 Restaurants companies, Jollibee Foods ranks better than 67.66% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-19), Jollibee Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱269.67. The stock price of Jollibee Foods is ₱154.80. Therefore, Jollibee Foods's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jollibee Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PHS:JFC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.5   Med: 1.73   Max: 3.26
Current: 0.57

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Jollibee Foods was 3.26. The lowest was 0.50. And the median was 1.73.

PHS:JFC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
67.66% of 235 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.09 vs PHS:JFC: 0.57

Jollibee Foods  (PHS:JFC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Jollibee Foods's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=154.80/269.66531321755
=0.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Jollibee Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Jollibee Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Jollibee Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Jollibee Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Jollibee Foods Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 116.03 130.49 172.06 211.50 240.37

Jollibee Foods Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 209.47 215.70 240.37 246.58 269.67

PHS:JFC vs MCD, SBUX, YUM: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Jollibee Foods's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jollibee Foods Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Jollibee Foods's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jollibee Foods's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


PHS:JFC
73GF Score
Jollibee Foods Corp PHS:JFC
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Jollibee Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Jollibee Foods's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₱16,495.20.

Jollibee Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*16495.20304+81572.022*0.8)/1151.131
=269.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₱269.67 mean?
Jollibee Foods (PHS:JFC) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₱269.67 as of Aug. 19, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Jollibee Foods and its competitors. This is 15488% above median its historical median of 1.73. Over the past decade, Jollibee Foods' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.50 to 3.26. According to the industry distribution chart, Jollibee Foods ranks #76 out of 235 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 32.3%.
Is Jollibee Foods' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Jollibee Foods' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₱269.67 is 15488% above median its 10-year median of 1.73. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.50 to a high of 3.26. Based on the distribution chart, Jollibee Foods ranks #76 out of 235 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Jollibee Foods has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Jollibee Foods' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Jollibee Foods ranks #76 out of 235 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Jollibee Foods in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.09. Historically, Jollibee Foods' own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.50 to 3.26 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Restaurants company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Restaurants companies is 1.09, based on 235 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Jollibee Foods and its competitors. For the Restaurants industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.09 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Jollibee Foods's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱269.67, which is 15488% above median its own 10-year median of 1.73. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Jollibee Foods stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jollibee Foods (PHS:JFC) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₱283.41, compared to a current price of ₱154.80 — trading 45.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱269.67, which is 15488% above median its 10-year median of 1.73. Jollibee Foods' overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Jollibee Foods (PHS:JFC), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱269.67 as of Aug. 19, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Jollibee Foods (PHS:JFC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jollibee Foods stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₱154.80 is trading 45.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₱283.41. GuruFocus considers Jollibee Foods to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for PHS:JFC:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ₱269.67 (15488% above median its 10-year median of 1.73)
  • GF Value™: ₱283.41 vs. price of ₱154.80 (45.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PHS:JFC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Jollibee Foods Business Description

Other Exchanges JBFCY:USAJBFCF:USA
Address 10 F. Ortigas Junior avenue, 10th Floor, Jollibee Plaza Building, Ortigas Centre, Pasig, PHL, 1605
Jollibee Foods Corp is engaged in operating and franchising quick-service restaurants (QSRs). The company has three business segments: the Food Service segment, which is involved in the operation of QSRs and the manufacture of food products to be sold to JFC Group-owned and franchised QSR outlets; the Franchising segment, which is involved in franchising the JFC Group's QSR store concepts; and the Support Services segment, which provides various services mainly to the Jollibee Group's independent franchisees. The Group's geographical segments are based on the location of the assets producing revenues in the Philippines and in other locations, including PRC, USA, Canada, Vietnam, Singapore, Malaysia, Italy, the UK, UAE, Hong Kong, Macau, Brunei, Taiwan, and South Korea.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PHS:JFC

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₱154.80
Price
₱283.41
GF Value