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Spin Master (Spin Master) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $23.85 (As of Jun. 23, 2024)


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What is Spin Master Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-23), Spin Master's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $23.85. The stock price of Spin Master is $21.49183. Therefore, Spin Master's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Spin Master's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SNMSF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.61   Med: 1.19   Max: 2
Current: 0.9

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Spin Master was 2.00. The lowest was 0.61. And the median was 1.19.

SNMSF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
59.4% of 569 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 1.12 vs SNMSF: 0.90

Spin Master Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Spin Master's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Spin Master Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Spin Master Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 20.90 25.56 25.79 26.26

Spin Master Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.10 23.22 25.59 26.26 23.41

Competitive Comparison of Spin Master's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Leisure subindustry, Spin Master's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Spin Master's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Spin Master's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Spin Master's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Spin Master Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Spin Master's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $152.94.

Spin Master's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*152.944+1344.1*0.8)/106.300
=23.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Spin Master  (OTCPK:SNMSF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Spin Master's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=21.49183/23.813364576606
=0.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Spin Master Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Spin Master (Spin Master) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
225 King Street West, Suite 200, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5V 3M2
Spin Master is a children's entertainment company operating in the just over $100 billion global toy industry. The company creates, designs, manufactures, and markets a portfolio of products, brands, and entertainment properties across four key categories (outdoor, wheels & action, preschool and dolls & interactive, and activities, games and puzzles and plush). Spin Master has increased brand awareness via homegrown brands including Paw Patrol, Rusty Rivets, and Bakugan but has leaned on a robust acquisition strategy to reach adjacent markets through tie-ups like Rubik's, Swimways, and Melissa & Doug (which is set to come on board in 2024). The company has global reach, with more than 30 offices in nearly 20 countries and sales in over 100 markets.