C3.ai (XSWX:AI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: CHF-2.91 (As of Jul. 27, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XSWX:AI C3.ai Inc XSWX:AI
54 GF Score
Price CHF6.78
GF Value CHF13.51
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is C3.ai Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

C3.ai XSWX:AI +3.35% 54 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF-2.91 as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:AI with a GF Score™ of 54/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF13.51. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,457 Software companies, C3.ai ranks worse than 68634.11% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-07-27), C3.ai's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF-2.91. The stock price of C3.ai is CHF6.779. Therefore, C3.ai's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for C3.ai's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:AI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Software industry.
Industry Median: 1.34
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

C3.ai  (XSWX:AI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

C3.ai's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=6.779/-3.4907513371589
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


C3.ai Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


C3.ai Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for C3.ai's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

C3.ai Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

C3.ai Annual Data
Trend Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23 Apr24 Apr25 Apr26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.77

C3.ai Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.32 -2.77

XSWX:AI vs RDWR, PGY, BRUN: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, C3.ai's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


C3.ai Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, C3.ai's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where C3.ai's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


XSWX:AI
54GF Score
C3.ai Inc XSWX:AI
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

C3.ai Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get C3.ai's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = CHF-96.81.

C3.ai's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Apr26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-96.81376+514.894*0.8)/146.039
=-3.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF-2.91 mean?
C3.ai (XSWX:AI) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF-2.91 as of Jul. 27, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on C3.ai and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, C3.ai ranks #999999 out of 1457 companies in the Software industry.
Is C3.ai's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
C3.ai's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF-2.91. Based on the distribution chart, C3.ai ranks #999999 out of 1457 companies in the Software industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, C3.ai has a GF Score™ of 54/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does C3.ai's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to RDWR and PGY?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, C3.ai ranks #999999 out of 1457 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places C3.ai in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.34. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Software company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Software companies is 1.34, based on 1,457 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on C3.ai and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.34 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. C3.ai's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF-2.91. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is C3.ai stock overvalued right now?
C3.ai (XSWX:AI) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF-2.91. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF13.51, compared to a current price of CHF6.78 — trading 49.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF-2.91. C3.ai's overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For C3.ai (XSWX:AI), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF-2.91 as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is C3.ai (XSWX:AI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, C3.ai stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of CHF6.78 is trading 49.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of CHF13.51.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:AI:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: CHF-2.91
  • GF Value™: CHF13.51 vs. price of CHF6.78 (49.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 54/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:AI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


C3.ai Business Description

Address 1400 Seaport Boulevard, Redwood City, CA, USA, 94063
C3.ai Inc is an enterprise artificial intelligence company. The company provides software-as-a-service applications that enable customers to rapidly develop, deploy, and operate large-scale Enterprise AI applications across any infrastructure. It provides solutions under three divisions namely, The C3 AI Platform, which is an end-to-end application development and runtime environment for designing, developing, and deploying AI applications: C3 AI Applications, which is a portfolio of pre-built, extensible, industry-specific, and application-specific Enterprise AI applications: and C3 Generative AI, which combines the utility of large language models. Geographically the company derives revenue from North America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World.
54GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:AI

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF6.78
Price
CHF13.51
GF Value