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LendingClub Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $-6.35 (As of Today)
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As of today (2021-12-05), LendingClub's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-6.35.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

LendingClub's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for LendingClub is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for LendingClub's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:


LendingClub Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for LendingClub's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

LendingClub Annual Data
Trend Mar12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

LendingClub Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

LendingClub Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 8%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-0.430.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

LendingClub's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.08) = 0.97222222222222
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.08) = 0.96296296296296

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.430*14.7595
=-6.35

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-6.35-29.24)/-6.35
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


LendingClub  (NYSE:LC) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


LendingClub Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of LendingClub's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


LendingClub Business Description

LendingClub logo
Industry
Financial Services » Credit Services NAICS : 525990 SIC : 6153
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
595 Market Street, Suite 200, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94105
LendingClub Corp is a company engaged in operating an online lending marketplace platform that connects borrowers and investors for the provision of the loan facility. It offers investors access to an asset class that has generally been closed to many investors and only available on a limited basis to institutional investors. The company through the platform offer loan products such as personal, education and patient finance, small business and auto to interested investors. It generates a majority of the revenue from the transaction fees received from the platform's role in accepting and decisioning applications on behalf of the bank partners to enable loan originations.
Executives
Kay Valerie officer: Chief Capital Officer C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 71 STEVENSON ST, SUITE 1000 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Casey Thomas W officer: Chief Financial Officer 1201 THIRD AVE SEATTLE WA 98101
Koohestani Bahman officer: Chief Technology Officer 500 W. MADISON STREET #1000 CHICAGO IL 60661
Stack Fergal officer: SVP, Corporate Controller C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 71 STEVENSON ST., SUITE 300 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Pace Brandon officer: General Counsel and Secretary C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 595 MARKET ST, SUITE 200 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Sanborn Scott officer: CEO C/O REDENVELOPE, INC. 149 NEW MONTGOMERY STREET SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Bogan Timothy officer: Chief Risk Officer C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 71 STEVENSON ST, SUITE 300 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Armstrong Annie officer: Chief Risk Officer C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION 595 MARKET ST. #200 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Momen Ronnie officer: Chief Lending Officer C/O LENDINGCLUB CORPORATION SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Denman Kenneth D director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: DENMAN KENNETH D a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Zeisser Michael P director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: ZEISSER MICHAEL P a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Williams Simon director C/O THE STUDENT LOAN CORPORATION 750 WASHINGTON BLVD., 9TH FLOOR STAMFORD CT 06901
Ciporin Daniel T director C/O VISTAPRINT USA, INC. 100 HAYDEN AVE LEXINGTON MA 02421
Mayopoulos Timothy J director C/O FANNIE MAE 1100 15TH STREET, NW WASHINGTON DC 20005
Morris John C. director C/O VISA INC. P.O. BOX 8999 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94128-8999

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