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DocuSign Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

: $30.73 (As of Today)
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As of today (2022-05-23), DocuSign's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $30.73.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

DocuSign's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for DocuSign is -147.93%.

The industry rank for DocuSign's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:


DocuSign Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for DocuSign's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

DocuSign Annual Data
Trend Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

DocuSign Quarterly Data
Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

DocuSign Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average free cash flow growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $2.268.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

DocuSign's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.09) = 0.96330275229358
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=2.268*13.5514
=30.73

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(30.73-76.19)/30.73
=-147.93 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


DocuSign  (NAS:DOCU) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


DocuSign Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of DocuSign's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


DocuSign Business Description

DocuSign logo
Industry
Technology » Software NAICS : 511210 SIC : 7379
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
221 Main Street, Suite 1550, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94105
DocuSign offers the Agreement Cloud, a broad cloud-based software suite that enables users to automate the agreement process and provide legally binding e-signatures from nearly any device. The company was founded in 2003 and completed its IPO in May 2018.
Executives
Gaylor Cynthia officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O PIVOTAL SOFTWARE, INC. 875 HOWARD STREET, FIFTH FLOOR SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Olrich Scott V. officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O DOCUSIGN, INC. 221 MAIN ST., SUITE 1000 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Salem Enrique T director SYMANTEC CORPORATION 20330 STEVENS CREEK BLVD. CUPERTINO CA 95014
Solvik Peter director 2105 SOUTH BASCOM AVE. #370 CAMPBELL CA 95008
Alhadeff Loren officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O DOCUSIGN, INC. SUITE 1000 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Wilderotter Mary Agnes director 115 ALPINE TERRACE OAKLAND CA 94618
Springer Daniel D. director, officer: President and CEO C/O DOCUSIGN, INC. 221 MAIN ST., SUITE 1000 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Phi Tram T officer: SVP, General Counsel C/O IMPERVA, INC. 3400 BRIDGE PARKWAY REDWOOD SHORES CA 94065
Suh Inhi Cho director C/O DOCUSIGN, INC. 221 MAIN STREET, SUITE 1000 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Singh Sudhir Steven director 6222 185TH AVE REDMOND WA 98052
Irving Blake director 14455 N. HAYDEN RD. SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Briggs Teresa director 2225 LAWSON LANE SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Beer James A director MCKESSON CORPORATION ONE POST STREET SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Wolberg Kirsten O. officer: Chief Technology & Ops Officer 900 NORTH MCCARTHY BLVD MILPITAS CA 95035
Sheridan Michael J officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O DOCUSIGN, INC. 221 MAIN ST., SUITE 1000 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105

DocuSign Headlines

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