The Walt Disney Co (The Walt Disney Co) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $37.19 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)

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What is The Walt Disney Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-26), The Walt Disney Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $37.19.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

The Walt Disney Co's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for The Walt Disney Co is -203.23%.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of The Walt Disney Co was 1.09. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 0.60.

DIS's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Media - Diversified industry.
Industry Median: 0.745
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

The Walt Disney Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Walt Disney Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

The Walt Disney Co Annual Data

Trend

Sep14

Sep15

Sep16

Sep17

Sep18

Sep19

Sep20

Sep21

Sep22

Sep23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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198.49

The Walt Disney Co Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Entertainment subindustry, The Walt Disney Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

The Walt Disney Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, The Walt Disney Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Walt Disney Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

The Walt Disney Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.70%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> The Walt Disney Co's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $3.2229.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

3.2229

11.5406

37.19

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(37.19	-	112.77)	/	37.19
	=	-203.23 %

The Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

The Walt Disney Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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The Walt Disney Co (The Walt Disney Co) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » The Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

DIS:Mexico DIS_KZ:Kazakhstan 1DIS:Italy WDPd:UK 0QZO:UK WDP0:Germany WDP:Germany WDP:Germany WDP:Germany WDP:Germany DIS:Chile DIS:Canada DISB34:Brazil DIS:Austria DIS:Argentina

Address

500 South Buena Vista Street, Burbank, CA, USA, 91521

Website

https://www.thewaltdisneycompany.com

Disney operates in three global business segments: entertainment, sports, and experiences. Entertainment and experiences both benefit from franchises and characters the firm has created over the course of a century. Entertainment includes the ABC broadcast network, several cable television networks, and the Disney+ and Hulu streaming services. Within the segment, Disney also engages in movie and television production and distribution, with content licensed to movie theaters, other content providers, or, increasingly, kept in-house for use on Disney's own streaming platform and television networks. The sports segment houses ESPN and the ESPN+ streaming service. Experiences contains Disney's theme parks and vacation destinations, and also benefits from merchandise licensing.

Executives

Sonia L Coleman	officer: Sr. EVP and Chief HR Officer	500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Brent Woodford	officer: EVP, Control, Fin Plan & Tax	1441 GARDINER LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 40213
Amy Chang	director	2100 SEAPORT BLVD., C/O INFORMATICA CORPORATION, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Kevin A Lansberry	officer: Interim Chief Finan Officer	500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Christine M Mccarthy	officer: SEVP-Chief Financial Officer	500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521-0964
Carolyn Everson	director	C/O THE HERTZ CORPORATION, 225 BRAE BOULEVARD, PARK RIDGE NJ 07656-0713
Kristina K Schake	officer: Sr. EVP and Chief Comm Officer	500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Horacio E Gutierrez	officer: Sr EVP, General Counsel & Secy	500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Geoff Morrell	officer: SEVP Chf Corp Affairs Officer	500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Robert A Chapek	officer: Chief Executive Officer	500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Paul J Richardson	officer: Sr. EVP and Chief HR Officer	500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Calvin Mcdonald	director	C/O LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC., 1818 CORNWALL AVENUE, VANCOUVER A1 V6J 1C7
Robert A Iger	director, officer: Chairman and CEO	C/O WALT DISNEY CO, 500 S BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521-1062
Zenia B. Mucha	officer: SEVP Corporate Communications	500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Mary Jayne Parker	officer: SEVP and Chief HR Officer	500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521-0966