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The Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

: $0.00 (As of Today)
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As of today (2022-11-28), The Walt Disney Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history with more than 5 years. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, the data will not be stored into our database.

The Walt Disney Co's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for The Walt Disney Co is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of The Walt Disney Co was 35.43. The lowest was 2.40. And the median was 4.35.


The Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Walt Disney Co Annual Data
Trend Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.52 47.96 - - -

The Walt Disney Co Quarterly Data
Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

The Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Competitive Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

The Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



The Walt Disney Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. H-Model formula is applied here, in which dividends are used in the calculation with two stage of dividend growth. The calculation for H-Model DDM valuation shows as below.

The H-model formula consists of two parts. The first component of the equation adds the value from the high growth rate period, which is called growth stage. The second component of the formula considers the value of the stock based on the long-term growth rate, which is called the terminal stage. It ignores the high growth rate period. In the growth stage, the dividends of company grows at a faster rate. As it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average dividend growth rate in the past 5 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 0.00% which is lower than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: dividends per share = $0.000.
GuruFocus DCF calculator applies H-Model to the calculation here, using dividends per share TTM as the default.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) = Dividends per Share *( g1 - g2 ) / ( d - g2 ) * y1 / 2
+ Dividends per Share * ( 1 + g2 ) / ( d - g2 )
= 0.000 * (0.05 - 0.04) / (0.1 - 0.04) * 10 / 2
+ 0.000 * ( 1 + 0.04) / (0.1 - 0.04)
= 0.00

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (0 - 96.53) / 0
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Walt Disney Co  (NYSE:DIS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 5 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


The Walt Disney Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) Business Description

The Walt Disney Co logo
Address
500 South Buena Vista Street, Burbank, CA, USA, 91521
Walt Disney owns the rights to some of the most globally recognized characters, from Mickey Mouse to Luke Skywalker. These characters and others are featured in several Disney theme parks around the world. Disney makes live-action and animated films under studios such as Pixar, Marvel, and Lucasfilm and also operates media networks including ESPN and several TV production studios. Disney recently reorganized into four segments with one new segment: direct-to-consumer and international. The new segment includes the two announced OTT offerings, ESPN+ and the Disney SVOD service. The plan also combines two segments, parks and resorts and consumer products, into one. The media networks group contains the U.S. cable channels and ABC. The studio segment holds the movie production assets.
Executives
Gutierrez Horacio E officer: Sr EVP, General Counsel & Secy 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET BURBANK CA 91521
Morrell Geoff officer: SEVP Chf Corp Affairs Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET BURBANK CA 91521
Richardson Paul J officer: Sr. EVP and Chief HR Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET BURBANK CA 91521
Chang Amy director 2100 SEAPORT BLVD. C/O INFORMATICA CORPORATION REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Mcdonald Calvin director C/O LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC. 1818 CORNWALL AVENUE VANCOUVER A1 V6J 1C7
Chapek Robert A officer: Chief Executive Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET BURBANK CA 91521
Catz Safra director C/O DELPHI ASSET MGMT CORPORATION 5525 KIETZKE LANE, SUITE 200 RENO NV 89511
Arnold Susan E director THE PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY 1 PROCTER & GAMBLE PLAZA CINCINNATI OH 45202
Lagomasino Maria Elena director 345 PARK AVENUE 5TH FL NEW YORK NY 10154
Parker Mark G director ONE BOWERMAN DR BEAVERTON OR 97005
Barra Mary T director 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER M/C: 482-C25-A36 DETROIT MI 48265-3000
Froman Michael B. G. director 2000 PURCHASE STREET PURCHASE NY 10577
Braverman Alan N officer: Sr EVP, General Counsel & Secy 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA ST BURBANK CA 91521-1030
Mccarthy Christine M officer: SEVP-Chief Financial Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET BURBANK CA 91521-0964
Parker Mary Jayne officer: SEVP and Chief HR Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET BURBANK CA 91521-0966

The Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) Headlines

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