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Broadcom Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

: $487.60 (As of Today)
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As of today (2022-10-06), Broadcom's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $487.60.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history with more than 5 years. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, the data will not be stored into our database.

Broadcom's Predictability Rank is 4-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Broadcom is 1.66%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Broadcom's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

AVGO' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.63   Med: 1.41   Max: 2.97
Current: 0.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Broadcom was 2.97. The lowest was 0.63. And the median was 1.41.

AVGO's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked better than
71.43% of 105 companies
in the Semiconductors industry
Industry Median: 1.69 vs AVGO: 0.99

Broadcom Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Broadcom's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Broadcom Annual Data
Trend Oct12 Oct13 Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 88.94 127.17 288.85 472.33 392.40

Broadcom Quarterly Data
Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 382.86 392.40 406.03 335.72 346.62

Competitive Comparison

For the Semiconductors subindustry, Broadcom's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Broadcom Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Broadcom's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Broadcom's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Broadcom Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. H-Model formula is applied here, in which dividends are used in the calculation with two stage of dividend growth. The calculation for H-Model DDM valuation shows as below.

The H-model formula consists of two parts. The first component of the equation adds the value from the high growth rate period, which is called growth stage. The second component of the formula considers the value of the stock based on the long-term growth rate, which is called the terminal stage. It ignores the high growth rate period. In the growth stage, the dividends of company grows at a faster rate. As it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average dividend growth rate in the past 5 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 48.80% which is NO less than 20% => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: dividends per share = $15.900.
GuruFocus DCF calculator applies H-Model to the calculation here, using dividends per share TTM as the default.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Broadcom's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) = Dividends per Share *( g1 - g2 ) / ( d - g2 ) * y1 / 2
+ Dividends per Share * ( 1 + g2 ) / ( d - g2 )
= 15.900 * (0.2 - 0.04) / (0.1 - 0.04) * 10 / 2
+ 15.900 * ( 1 + 0.04) / (0.1 - 0.04)
= 487.60

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (487.6 - 479.50) / 487.6
= 1.66 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Broadcom  (NAS:AVGO) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 5 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Broadcom Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Broadcom's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Broadcom Business Description

Broadcom logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » Broadcom Inc (NAS:AVGO) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Address
1320 Ridder Park Drive, San Jose, CA, USA, 95131-2313
Broadcom--the combined entity of Broadcom and Avago--boasts a highly diverse product portfolio across an array of end markets. Avago focused primarily on radio frequency filters and amplifiers used in high-end smartphones, such as the Apple iPhone and Samsung Galaxy devices, in addition to an assortment of solutions for wired infrastructure, enterprise storage, and industrial end markets. Legacy Broadcom targeted networking semiconductors, such as switch and physical layer chips, broadband products (such as television set-top box processors), and connectivity chips that handle standards such as Wi-Fi and Bluetooth. The company has acquired Brocade, CA Technologies, and Symantec's enterprise security business to bolster its offerings in software.
Executives
Fernandez Raul J director 11600 SUNRISE VALLEY DR RESTON VA 20191
Lien Justine director 1320 RIDDER PARK DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95131
Bryant Diane M director 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD SANTA CLARA CA 95054
You Harry L. director EMC CORPORATION 176 SOUTH STREET HOPKINTON MA 01748
Krause Thomas H. officer: Chief Financial Officer 1320 RIDDER PARK SAN JOSE CA 95131
Ingram Bryan officer: SVP & GM, Wireless Semicon Div C/O AVAGO TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED 350 WEST TRIMBLE ROAD, BLDG. 90 SAN JOSE CA 95131
Spears Kirsten M. officer: Principal Accounting Officer 1320 RIDDER PARK SAN JOSE CA 95131
Kawwas Charlie B officer: SVP & Chief Sales Officer C/O AVAGO TECHNOLOGIES U.S. INC. 350 WEST TRIMBLE ROAD SAN JOSE CA 95131
Brazeal Mark David officer: Chief Legal Officer 1320 RIDDER PARK DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95131
Tan Hock E director, officer: President and CEO BROADCOM INC. 1320 RIDDER PARK DRIVE SAN JOSE CA 95131
Silver Lake Partners V De (aiv), L.p. director C/O SILVER LAKE 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Silver Lake Technology Associates V, L.p. director C/O SILVER LAKE 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Slta V (gp), L.l.c. director C/O SILVER LAKE 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Silver Lake Technology Investors V, L.p. director C/O SILVER LAKE 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Silver Lake Group, L.l.c. director 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100 MENLO PARK CA 94025

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