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COG Financial Services (ASX:COG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : A$2.96 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is COG Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-28), COG Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$2.96. The stock price of COG Financial Services is A$1.28. Therefore, COG Financial Services's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for COG Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:COG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.23   Med: 0.76   Max: 2.64
Current: 0.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of COG Financial Services was 2.64. The lowest was 0.23. And the median was 0.76.

ASX:COG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
82.36% of 516 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 1.07 vs ASX:COG: 0.43

COG Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for COG Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

COG Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

COG Financial Services Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.36 0.72 1.63 3.66 2.96

COG Financial Services Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 3.66 - 2.96 -

Competitive Comparison of COG Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Capital Markets subindustry, COG Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


COG Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, COG Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where COG Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



COG Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get COG Financial Services's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$41.01.

COG Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.478948627719*41.012571428571+163.916*0.8)/189.206
=2.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


COG Financial Services  (ASX:COG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

COG Financial Services's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.28/2.9645012795084
=0.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


COG Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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COG Financial Services (ASX:COG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
72 Archer Street, Level 1, Chatswood, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2067
COG Financial Services Ltd is engaged in the equipment finance sector. The investment objective of the company is to grow its earnings per share from investing in complementary entities and growing existing businesses that specialize in equipment finance broking, finance aggregation, and commercial leases for essential business assets. Its segments include Finance Broking and Aggregation, which is the key revenue driver, focused on the aggregation of broker volumes to maximize profitability through scale and finance broking focused on a range of products finance and asset types; Funds Management and Lending activities and others.

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